Minnesota vs Boston: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Orlando Arcia at 99.0% versus Orlando Arcia at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Orlando Arcia — / Orlando Arcia — / Trevor Larnach — / Willson Contreras — / Austin Martin — / Brooks Lee — / Jarren Duran — / Kody Clemens — / Mickey Gasper — / Trevor Larnach — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Willson Contreras — / Austin Martin — / Trevor Larnach — / Brooks Lee — / Byron Buxton — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Victor Caratini — / Byron Buxton — / Wilyer Abreu — / Nick Sogard — / Jarren Duran — / Nick Sogard — / Mickey Gasper — / Willson Contreras — / Wilyer Abreu — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Victor Caratini — / Marcelo Mayer — / Nick Sogard — / Isiah Kiner-Falefa — / Isiah Kiner-Falefa — / Marcelo Mayer — / Ryan Kreidler — / Jarren Duran — / Connor Wong — / Josh Bell — / Kody Clemens — / Wilyer Abreu — / Josh Bell — / Austin Martin — / Orlando Arcia — / Byron Buxton — / Ryan Kreidler — / Marcelo Mayer — / Ryan Kreidler — / Josh Bell — / Byron Buxton —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Arcia | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Orlando Arcia | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trevor Larnach | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Austin Martin | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brooks Lee | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kody Clemens | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Gasper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trevor Larnach | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Austin Martin | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trevor Larnach | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brooks Lee | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Byron Buxton | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 95.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Caratini | 59.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Byron Buxton | 49.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 40.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Sogard | 38.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Sogard | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Gasper | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Caratini | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Marcelo Mayer | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Sogard | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Marcelo Mayer | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Kreidler | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Connor Wong | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Bell | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kody Clemens | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Bell | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Austin Martin | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Orlando Arcia | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Byron Buxton | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Kreidler | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Marcelo Mayer | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Kreidler | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Bell | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Byron Buxton | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Minnesota vs Boston: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Orlando Arcia priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Minnesota vs Boston: Hits?
- Orlando Arcia: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Orlando Arcia: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trevor Larnach: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Austin Martin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brooks Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kody Clemens: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Gasper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trevor Larnach: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Austin Martin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trevor Larnach: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brooks Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Byron Buxton: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Caratini: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Byron Buxton: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Sogard: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Sogard: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Gasper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Caratini: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marcelo Mayer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Sogard: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isiah Kiner-Falefa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isiah Kiner-Falefa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marcelo Mayer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Kreidler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Connor Wong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Bell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kody Clemens: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Bell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Austin Martin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Orlando Arcia: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Byron Buxton: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Kreidler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marcelo Mayer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Kreidler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Bell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Byron Buxton: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Minnesota odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.