BMW Championship 2026 odds — Kalshi vs Polymarket vs sportsbooks

Outrights & Lines100 Matchups0 Props Ladder

Force refresh (Elite)

Players

Total markets

100

Kalshi quotes

100

Book quotes

DG model

Books tracked

TournamentWin50K50

Round leaderR1 Leader50K50

No actionable mispricings on the Win market right now — Kalshi and books are within 0.2% across the field (filtered to markets with 3+ books).

Win · 50 players · Edge vs Books medianFree tier — showing 5 of 0 books. Upgrade for allClick any column header to sort.

Player	Kalshi	DG	Poly	Books med	Buy edge	vs DG	vs Poly	vs best book
Xander Schauffele●K	4.7%	—	3.4%	—	—	—	-1.25%	—
Viktor Hovland●K	3.0%	—	3.0%	—	—	—	+0.05%	—
J.J. Spaun●K	1.5%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Wyndham Clark●K	2.9%	—	25.5%	—	—	—	+22.60%	—
Chris Gotterup●K	2.6%	—	25.4%	—	—	—	+22.85%	—
Rory McIlroy●K	4.5%	—	4.0%	—	—	—	-0.55%	—
Akshay Bhatia●K	0.7%	—	1.9%	—	—	—	+1.30%	—
Jake Knapp●K	1.9%	—	3.0%	—	—	—	+1.10%	—
Adam Scott●K	1.1%	—	25.5%	—	—	—	+24.40%	—
Sepp Straka●K	0.4%	—	25.1%	—	—	—	+24.60%	—
Gary Woodland●K	0.8%	—	25.5%	—	—	—	+24.75%	—
Kristoffer Reitan●K	0.5%	—	25.1%	—	—	—	+24.50%	—
Kurt Kitayama●K	1.5%	—	2.5%	—	—	—	+1.00%	—
J.T. Poston●K	0.7%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Matt Fitzpatrick●K	3.7%	—	3.5%	—	—	—	-0.20%	—
Alex Fitzpatrick●K	0.9%	—	25.4%	—	—	—	+24.60%	—
Patrick Cantlay●K	2.6%	—	2.9%	—	—	—	+0.30%	—
Ben Griffin●K	1.3%	—	25.1%	—	—	—	+23.80%	—
Sam Burns●K	5.2%	—	3.3%	—	—	—	-1.95%	—
Justin Rose●K	0.7%	—	25.6%	—	—	—	+24.90%	—
Alex Noren●K	1.1%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Min Woo Lee●K	0.7%	—	24.4%	—	—	—	+23.75%	—
Justin Thomas●K	1.7%	—	25.4%	—	—	—	+23.80%	—
Tommy Fleetwood●K	4.5%	—	3.0%	—	—	—	-1.40%	—
Nicolai Højgaard●K	1.1%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Scottie Scheffler●K	22.5%	—	22.5%	—	—	—	+0.00%	—
Tom Kim●K	1.5%	—	3.0%	—	—	—	+1.50%	—
Bud Cauley●K	0.9%	—	25.4%	—	—	—	+24.55%	—
Sahith Theegala●K	0.5%	—	25.5%	—	—	—	+24.95%	—
Ryo Hisatsune●K	0.5%	—	1.6%	—	—	—	+1.00%	—
Michael Brennan●K	1.5%	—	2.5%	—	—	—	+1.00%	—
Russell Henley●K	1.2%	—	25.5%	—	—	—	+24.30%	—
Ryan Gerard●K	1.5%	—	25.4%	—	—	—	+24.00%	—
Matthew McCarty●K	0.2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hideki Matsuyama●K	3.1%	—	25.0%	—	—	—	+21.90%	—
Rickie Fowler●K	0.8%	—	25.5%	—	—	—	+24.75%	—
Collin Morikawa●K	2.3%	—	25.4%	—	—	—	+23.15%	—
Alex Smalley●K	1.1%	—	25.5%	—	—	—	+24.45%	—
Ryan Fox●K	0.7%	—	25.1%	—	—	—	+24.40%	—
Eric Cole●K	0.4%	—	25.0%	—	—	—	+24.65%	—
Jacob Bridgeman●K	0.7%	—	25.4%	—	—	—	+24.70%	—
Cameron Young●K	4.8%	—	3.5%	—	—	—	-1.30%	—
Michael Thorbjornsen●K	1.5%	—	24.8%	—	—	—	+23.30%	—
Nicolas Echavarria●K	0.6%	—	25.1%	—	—	—	+24.45%	—
Maverick McNealy●K	1.6%	—	24.8%	—	—	—	+23.25%	—
Aaron Rai●K	0.7%	—	24.3%	—	—	—	+23.65%	—
Si Woo Kim●K	2.4%	—	3.5%	—	—	—	+1.15%	—
Sungjae Im●K	1.3%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ludvig Åberg●K	4.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Robert MacIntyre●K	1.1%	—	25.0%	—	—	—	+23.85%	—

Trade on Kalshi →Trade on Polymarket →Sponsored · code SPORTSBOOKISH on Polymarket (iOS)

Kalshi = implied prob from bid/ask mid (or last trade if spread wide). DG = DataGolf model baseline. Books = de-vigged implied prob per book.

Buy edge = reference − Kalshi. Positive (green) = Kalshi cheaper than reference → good buy. Negative (red) = Kalshi overpriced → sell or bet at the books. “Edge vs best” compares Kalshi to the book offering the longest American odds.

BMW Championship odds — FAQ

What Kalshi markets are available for the BMW Championship?

Kalshi is currently pricing 100 markets across 52 players for the BMW Championship, including outright winner, top 5, top 10, top 20, make cut, first-round leader, and head-to-head matchups. SportsBookISH compares each Kalshi price against 0 sportsbooks plus the DataGolf model baseline.

How often do BMW Championship odds update on SportsBookISH?

Kalshi quotes refresh every 5 minutes. DataGolf model + sportsbook lines refresh every 10 minutes. References older than 30 minutes are filtered out automatically. Elite subscribers can force-refresh any tournament on demand.

What does "edge vs books median" mean for BMW Championship?

It's the difference between the sportsbook consensus implied probability (median of de-vigged book prices) and Kalshi's implied probability. Positive edge = Kalshi is priced cheaper than the books expect, suggesting a good BUY on Kalshi. Negative edge = Kalshi is more expensive, suggesting a SELL on Kalshi or a BET at the books.

How does Kalshi compare to sportsbooks for golf?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange — you buy YES/NO contracts that settle at $1 or $0. Sportsbooks build a vig into outrights typically 15-25% on golf futures, vs Kalshi's max 7¢ trading fee. When Kalshi is priced cheaper than the no-vig book consensus, that's a +EV opportunity (after fee adjustment).