NFL — live Kalshi & Polymarket vs sportsbook odds
Games
16
With books
12/16
Markets
32
Kalshi quotes
32
Book quotes
168
Books tracked
7
Recent moves (24h)
Game slate (16)
🟢Top buysKalshi cheaper than books — buy YES on Kalshi
Jacksonville
BUY+5.22%
🔒 net-of-fee edge — sign up free
Edge vs books median
Kalshi
69.5%
Books med
74.7%
Best: DraftKings -285
Cleveland vs Jacksonville
New England
BUY+2.36%
🔒 net-of-fee edge — sign up free
Edge vs books median
Kalshi
33.0%
Books med
35.4%
Best: BetMGM +185
New England vs Seattle
Pittsburgh
BUY+0.78%
🔒 net-of-fee edge — sign up free
Edge vs books median
Kalshi
55.5%
Books med
56.3%
Best: BetMGM -135
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh
🔴Most overpriced on KalshiSell YES on Kalshi, or bet at the books instead
Atlanta
SELL-11.28%
🔒 net-of-fee edge — sign up free
Edge vs books median
Kalshi
55.0%
Books med
43.7%
Best: DraftKings +145
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh
Cleveland
SELL-5.22%
🔒 net-of-fee edge — sign up free
Edge vs books median
Kalshi
30.5%
Books med
25.3%
Best: FanDuel +295
Cleveland vs Jacksonville
Seattle
SELL-3.86%
🔒 net-of-fee edge — sign up free
Edge vs books median
Kalshi
68.5%
Books med
64.6%
Best: Bovada -195
New England vs Seattle
Filter:Edge vs Books median. Click any column header to sort. 24 rows.
Team / Game | Kalshi | Polymarket | Books med | Buy edge | vs best | # | BetMGM | betrivers | Bovada🔒 | Caesars | DraftKings | fanatics🔒 | FanDuel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jacksonville Cleveland vs Jacksonville | 69.5% | — | 74.7% | +5.22% | +1.45% DraftKings -285 | 7 | 74.7% | 75.1% | 74.5% | 74.8% | 71.0% | 73.7% | 75.7% |
New England New England vs Seattle | 33.0% | — | 35.4% | +2.36% | +0.64% BetMGM +185 | 7 | 33.6% | 36.1% | 36.3% | 34.7% | 35.5% | 34.9% | 35.4% |
Pittsburgh Atlanta vs Pittsburgh | 55.5% | — | 56.3% | +0.78% | -0.24% BetMGM -135 | 7 | 55.3% | 55.5% | 56.2% | 56.3% | 60.9% | 56.6% | 57.1% |
Kansas City Denver vs Kansas City | 58.0% | — | 58.6% | +0.60% | -1.92% betrivers -148 | 7 | 59.1% | 56.1% | 59.1% | 58.6% | 58.3% | 58.6% | 56.3% |
Green Bay Green Bay vs Minnesota | 52.5% | — | 53.1% | +0.56% | -1.42% Bovada -115 | 7 | 52.2% | 53.1% | 51.1% | 52.9% | 53.2% | 53.2% | 53.7% |
Carolina Chicago vs Carolina | 44.0% | 37.5% | 44.4% | +0.36% | -1.11% Bovada +125 | 7 | 44.0% | 45.0% | 42.9% | 44.4% | 44.9% | 44.4% | 43.7% |
Chicago Chicago vs Carolina | 55.5% | 0.0% | 55.6% | +0.14% | -0.46% betrivers -143 | 7 | 56.0% | 55.0% | 57.1% | 55.6% | 55.1% | 55.6% | 56.3% |
Tampa Bay Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati | 37.0% | 0.0% | 37.0% | -0.01% | -0.85% BetMGM +165 | 7 | 36.1% | 37.2% | 38.6% | 37.2% | 36.3% | 37.0% | 36.6% |
Washington Washington vs Philadelphia | 34.0% | 0.0% | 33.7% | -0.29% | -1.50% DraftKings +195 | 7 | 33.6% | 35.2% | 34.9% | 33.7% | 32.5% | 33.6% | 34.4% |
New Orleans New Orleans vs Detroit | 25.5% | 0.0% | 25.2% | -0.34% | -2.04% FanDuel +310 | 7 | 24.1% | 24.3% | 25.9% | 25.2% | 26.6% | 25.3% | 23.5% |
Minnesota Green Bay vs Minnesota | 47.5% | 0.0% | 46.9% | -0.56% | -1.20% FanDuel +108 | 7 | 47.8% | 46.9% | 48.9% | 47.1% | 46.8% | 46.8% | 46.3% |
Miami Miami vs Las Vegas | 37.5% | 0.0% | 36.8% | -0.73% | -2.65% FanDuel +176 | 7 | 37.4% | 39.6% | 36.3% | 36.8% | 38.4% | 36.1% | 34.8% |
Las Vegas Miami vs Las Vegas | 64.0% | — | 63.2% | -0.78% | -3.57% betrivers -175 | 7 | 62.6% | 60.4% | 63.7% | 63.2% | 61.6% | 63.9% | 65.2% |
Cincinnati Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati | 64.0% | — | 63.0% | -0.99% | -2.60% Bovada -175 | 7 | 63.9% | 62.8% | 61.4% | 62.8% | 63.7% | 63.0% | 63.4% |
Denver Denver vs Kansas City | 42.5% | — | 41.4% | -1.10% | -1.62% BetMGM +135 | 7 | 40.9% | 43.9% | 40.9% | 41.4% | 41.7% | 41.4% | 43.7% |
Buffalo Buffalo vs Houston | 52.0% | 2.2% | 50.9% | -1.11% | -2.00% fanatics -110 | 7 | 51.1% | 51.3% | 51.1% | 50.9% | 50.4% | 50.0% | 50.9% |
Indianapolis Baltimore vs Indianapolis | 37.0% | — | 35.9% | -1.11% | -2.07% fanatics +175 | 7 | 36.1% | 35.8% | 36.3% | 35.9% | 37.8% | 34.9% | 35.4% |
Houston Buffalo vs Houston | 50.5% | 0.0% | 49.1% | -1.39% | -1.76% betrivers -106 | 7 | 48.9% | 48.7% | 48.9% | 49.1% | 49.6% | 50.0% | 49.1% |
Detroit New Orleans vs Detroit | 76.5% | 0.0% | 74.8% | -1.66% | -3.15% DraftKings -325 | 7 | 75.9% | 75.7% | 74.1% | 74.8% | 73.4% | 74.7% | 76.5% |
Philadelphia Washington vs Philadelphia | 68.0% | 0.0% | 66.3% | -1.71% | -3.18% betrivers -215 | 7 | 66.4% | 64.8% | 65.1% | 66.3% | 67.5% | 66.4% | 65.6% |
Baltimore Baltimore vs Indianapolis | 66.0% | — | 64.1% | -1.88% | -3.75% DraftKings -185 | 7 | 63.9% | 64.2% | 63.7% | 64.1% | 62.2% | 65.1% | 64.6% |
Seattle New England vs Seattle | 68.5% | 0.0% | 64.6% | -3.86% | -4.84% Bovada -195 | 7 | 66.4% | 63.9% | 63.7% | 65.3% | 64.5% | 65.1% | 64.6% |
Cleveland Cleveland vs Jacksonville | 30.5% | 1.9% | 25.3% | -5.22% | -6.17% FanDuel +295 | 7 | 25.3% | 24.9% | 25.5% | 25.2% | 29.0% | 26.3% | 24.3% |
Atlanta Atlanta vs Pittsburgh | 55.0% | — | 43.7% | -11.28% | -15.92% DraftKings +145 | 7 | 44.7% | 44.5% | 43.8% | 43.7% | 39.1% | 43.4% | 42.9% |
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NFL odds — frequently asked questions
What NFL markets does Kalshi offer?
Kalshi currently lists 16 NFL game lines across 32 markets, plus championship, conference, division, MVP, and award futures depending on the season. SportsBookISH tracks every Kalshi market alongside 7 US sportsbooks so you can see where Kalshi is priced cheaper or more expensive than the books.
Where is the biggest Kalshi edge in NFL right now?
Atlanta currently shows the largest pricing gap on Kalshi, -11.3 percentage points different from the sportsbook consensus. Edges shift constantly — refresh this page for the latest snapshot.
How often do NFL odds update?
Kalshi prices are pulled every 5 minutes via the public Kalshi REST API. Sportsbook lines refresh every 15-30 minutes. References older than 30 minutes are filtered out so you never see stale comparisons on this page.
What's the difference between Kalshi and traditional sportsbooks for NFL?
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange — you buy YES or NO contracts that settle at $1 or $0. Sportsbooks set prices and bake in a vig (typically 4-8% on game lines). Kalshi's fee is max(1¢, ceil(0.07 × p × (1-p) × 100)) capped at 7¢ per contract. When Kalshi prices a side cheaper than the no-vig book consensus, that's a +EV opportunity.
Are NFL futures available on Kalshi?
Yes. SportsBookISH tracks championship, conference, division, MVP, award, and (where applicable) win-total futures markets for NFL. Pro and Elite subscribers get full per-book pricing on every futures market; free users can see game-line comparisons.
Is betting on NFL on Kalshi legal in my state?
Kalshi operates as a federally-regulated exchange under the CFTC, which means it's legally accessible from all 50 U.S. states (unlike most sportsbooks, which are state-by-state). A handful of states have raised challenges to specific market types — always check Kalshi's current state availability page before trading.