Skip to content
← Golf
Michael Thompson
Updated 3 min ago

Michael Thompson odds

Live Kalshi prices vs sportsbook consensus + DataGolf model.6 markets across 1 tournament
Markets: 6Kalshi pricing: 5/6DataGolf model: 6/6Sportsbook lines: 6/6
Make Cut
3 min ago
Kalshi
35.0%
33.0% / 37.0%
DataGolf model
33.7%
Books median (2)
33.6%
range 27.8%–39.4%
Edge vs books
-1.43%
Edge vs DataGolf
-1.33%
Per-book breakdown (2)
Book
American
No-vig %
PointsBet
+260
27.8%
DraftKings
+154
39.4%
Best price: PointsBet at +260
R1 Leader
3 min ago
Kalshi
0.4%
0.2% / 0.5%
DataGolf model
0.2%
Books median (8)
0.3%
range 0.2%–0.3%
Edge vs books
-0.10%
Edge vs DataGolf
-0.14%
Per-book breakdown (3)
Book
American
No-vig %
PointsBet
+30000
0.2%
FanDuel
+25000
0.3%
Other
+24167
0.3%
Best price: PointsBet at +30000
Top 10
3 min ago
Kalshi
0.0% / 3.0%
DataGolf model
1.2%
Books median (11)
1.2%
range 0.7%–1.5%
Per-book breakdown (6)
Book
American
No-vig %
FanDuel
+8000
1.0%
Caesars
+7500
0.9%
PointsBet
+6000
1.2%
DraftKings
+5100
1.5%
BetMGM
+5000
1.3%
Other
+7100
1.2%
Best price: FanDuel at +8000
Top 20
3 min ago
Kalshi
3.5%
2.0% / 5.0%
DataGolf model
3.3%
Books median (9)
3.6%
range 1.9%–4.3%
Edge vs books
+0.10%
Edge vs DataGolf
-0.17%
Per-book breakdown (4)
Book
American
No-vig %
PointsBet
+2800
2.9%
BetMGM
+2000
3.5%
DraftKings
+1700
4.3%
Other
+2483
3.6%
Best price: PointsBet at +2800
Top 5
3 min ago
Kalshi
3.0%
0.0% / 3.0%
DataGolf model
0.4%
Books median (11)
0.5%
range 0.3%–0.6%
Edge vs books
-2.52%
Edge vs DataGolf
-2.58%
Per-book breakdown (6)
Book
American
No-vig %
Caesars
+20000
0.4%
DraftKings
+15000
0.5%
FanDuel
+15000
0.5%
BetMGM
+12500
0.5%
PointsBet
+10000
0.6%
Other
+18750
0.4%
Best price: Caesars at +20000
Win
3 min ago
Kalshi
0.1%
0.0% / 0.1%
DataGolf model
0.1%
Books median (11)
0.1%
range 0.0%–0.1%
Edge vs books
-0.04%
Edge vs DataGolf
-0.04%
Per-book breakdown (6)
Book
American
No-vig %
Caesars
+150000
0.0%
DraftKings
+110000
0.1%
FanDuel
+100000
0.1%
BetMGM
+75000
0.1%
PointsBet
+60000
0.1%
Other
+104167
0.1%
Best price: Caesars at +150000

Michael Thompson betting — FAQ

What Michael Thompson betting markets are live right now?
Kalshi currently lists 6 Michael Thompson markets across 1 tournament — outright winner, top 5/10/20, make cut, first-round leader, and head-to-head matchups depending on the event. SportsBookISH compares each against the DataGolf model baseline (6/6 markets) plus 11+ sportsbooks (6/6 markets).
Where's the best Michael Thompson betting edge right now?
The Top 5 market on Biltmore Championship Asheville currently shows the largest gap — Kalshi is priced -2.5 percentage points more expensive than the books. Edges shift continuously; refresh for the latest snapshot.
How does the DataGolf model compare to Kalshi for Michael Thompson?
DataGolf publishes a baseline win/top-N probability based on its proprietary strokes-gained model. When Kalshi prices Michael Thompson cheaper than that baseline (positive edge), the model suggests Kalshi is mispriced low and the contract is a buy. When Kalshi prices higher, the model considers it expensive.
How often do these odds update?
Kalshi quotes refresh every 5 minutes. DataGolf model + sportsbook lines refresh every 10 minutes. References older than 30 minutes are filtered out. Latest update on this page: 3 min ago.
PGA TourEvery Michael Thompson market on Kalshi compared against US sportsbooks + the DataGolf model. Kalshi refreshes every 5 min; DataGolf + sportsbooks every 10 min.· Page last updated 3 min ago.
Michael Thompson odds — Kalshi vs Polymarket vs sportsbooks | SportsBookISH