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John Deere Classic
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Players
146
Total markets
876
Kalshi quotes
852
Book quotes
5126
DG model
839
Books tracked
13
★ Top buy opportunitiesKalshi cheaper than fair — buy YES
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
BUY
+0.60%
edge vs reference (26 books)
Kalshi
0.6%
Books med
1.2%
DG model
0.9%
Cheapest book: BetMGM +6000
Mackenzie Hughes
BUY
+0.39%
edge vs reference (20 books)
Kalshi
0.3%
Books med
0.6%
DG model
0.4%
Cheapest book: BetMGM +11000
Seamus Power
BUY
+0.34%
edge vs reference (25 books)
Kalshi
0.4%
Books med
0.7%
DG model
0.5%
Cheapest book: FanDuel +10000
Hayden Springer
BUY
+0.30%
edge vs reference (17 books)
Kalshi
0.1%
Books med
0.4%
DG model
0.2%
Cheapest book: DraftKings +20000
Takumi Kanaya
BUY
+0.28%
edge vs reference (4 books)
Kalshi
0.3%
Books med
0.5%
DG model
0.3%
Cheapest book: DraftKings +22500
▼ Most overpriced on KalshiSell YES on Kalshi, or bet at the books instead
Jackson Koivun
SELL
-1.33%
edge vs reference (24 books)
Kalshi
4.2%
Books med
2.8%
DG model
3.1%
Best alt: Caesars +2500
J.T. Poston
SELL
-0.86%
edge vs reference (12 books)
Kalshi
3.3%
Books med
2.4%
DG model
1.9%
Best alt: BetMGM +2800
Ben Griffin
SELL
-0.83%
edge vs reference (13 books)
Kalshi
5.3%
Books med
4.4%
DG model
5.8%
Best alt: Caesars +1400
Win · 146 players · Edge vs Books medianFree tier — showing 5 of 6 books. Upgrade for allClick any column header to sort.
Player
Kalshi
DG
Poly
Books med
Buy edge
vs DG
vs Poly
vs best book
#
BetMGM
Caesars
DraftKings
FanDuel
Christiaan Bezuidenhout●K0.6%0.9%1.5%1.2%+0.60%+0.32%+0.90%+0.47%
BetMGM +6000
261.1%1.4%1.3%1.4%
Mackenzie Hughes●K0.3%0.4%0.6%0.6%+0.39%+0.19%+0.35%+0.34%
BetMGM +11000
200.6%0.7%0.6%0.7%
Seamus Power●K0.4%0.5%1.5%0.7%+0.34%+0.06%+1.10%+0.25%
FanDuel +10000
250.8%0.7%0.8%0.7%
Hayden Springer●K0.1%0.2%0.6%0.4%+0.30%+0.05%+0.45%+0.17%
DraftKings +20000
170.4%0.6%0.3%0.5%
Takumi Kanaya●K0.3%0.3%0.6%0.5%+0.28%+0.00%+0.35%+0.05%
DraftKings +22500
40.6%0.3%0.7%
Zach Johnson●K0.2%0.2%0.6%0.5%+0.26%+0.00%+0.40%+0.12%
DraftKings +21000
40.3%0.5%
Thorbjorn Olesen●K0.5%0.7%0.5%0.8%+0.25%+0.14%+0.00%+0.09%
BetMGM +10000
260.7%0.8%0.9%0.8%
Andrew Putnam●K0.5%0.6%1.5%0.8%+0.25%+0.11%+1.00%+0.18%
BetMGM +10000
260.7%0.8%0.7%0.8%
Matt Kuchar●K0.3%0.2%0.6%0.5%+0.24%-0.06%+0.35%+0.24%
Other +16506
1
Stephan Jaeger●K0.4%0.5%1.5%0.6%+0.23%+0.13%+1.10%+0.11%
Other +11179
240.8%0.7%0.9%0.7%
Matt Wallace●K1.1%1.5%1.5%1.4%+0.23%+0.39%+0.35%+0.23%
Other +5752
1
Ryo Hisatsune●K1.8%2.0%2.0%2.1%+0.22%+0.18%+0.15%+0.22%
Other +3801
1
Vince Whaley●K0.1%0.3%0.6%0.4%+0.21%+0.15%+0.45%+0.21%
Other +22509
1
Webb Simpson●K0.2%0.3%0.6%0.4%+0.19%+0.07%+0.40%+0.02%
PointsBet +30000
200.3%0.3%0.4%0.4%
Austin Eckroat●K0.4%0.3%1.5%0.5%+0.19%-0.04%+1.15%+0.08%
DraftKings +15000
180.5%0.6%0.4%0.7%
Jimmy Stanger●K0.2%0.3%0.6%0.4%+0.18%+0.08%+0.40%+0.06%
Other +18611
160.4%0.4%0.3%0.4%
Kris Ventura●K0.2%0.4%0.4%+0.16%+0.16%+0.02%
PointsBet +30000
220.4%0.3%0.4%0.4%
Denny McCarthy●K1.4%1.1%1.5%1.5%+0.14%-0.29%+0.15%-0.27%
DraftKings +6200
131.3%1.8%1.1%1.3%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju●K1.2%1.3%1.5%1.3%+0.14%+0.14%+0.30%-0.07%
Caesars +5500
161.3%1.1%1.4%1.2%
Cameron Champ●K0.4%0.1%0.5%+0.13%-0.29%-0.20%
BetMGM +30000
50.2%
Kevin Roy●K0.4%0.3%1.5%0.5%+0.13%-0.02%+1.15%-0.04%
Caesars +20000
190.4%0.3%0.4%0.4%
Adam Hadwin●K0.3%0.3%0.5%0.4%+0.12%+0.01%+0.30%-0.03%
PointsBet +30000
210.3%0.3%0.3%0.4%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart●K0.5%0.6%1.5%0.7%+0.12%+0.08%+0.95%+0.04%
FanDuel +10000
130.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%
Matthieu Pavon●K0.4%0.4%0.6%0.5%+0.11%+0.02%+0.20%+0.08%
Other +13335
3
Carson Young●K0.5%0.4%1.5%0.7%+0.11%-0.13%+0.95%-0.16%
DraftKings +17500
140.7%0.8%0.4%0.7%
Chandler Phillips●K0.1%0.1%0.6%0.2%+0.10%+0.04%+0.50%+0.06%
DraftKings +40000
110.3%0.2%0.2%0.3%
Brice Garnett●K0.2%0.2%0.5%0.3%+0.10%+0.03%+0.35%+0.02%
PointsBet +30000
120.4%0.3%0.2%0.4%
Chad Ramey●K0.4%0.3%0.6%0.4%+0.10%-0.05%+0.25%+0.02%
Other +16877
50.6%
Erik Van Rooyen●K0.3%0.2%0.6%0.3%+0.09%-0.05%+0.35%-0.03%
PointsBet +30000
190.4%0.2%0.3%0.3%
Keita Nakajima●K0.5%0.6%1.5%0.6%+0.09%+0.02%+0.95%-0.02%
PointsBet +12500
260.7%0.6%0.6%0.7%
David Skinns●K0.1%0.2%0.6%0.2%+0.09%+0.01%+0.45%+0.07%
PointsBet +30000
110.4%0.3%0.2%0.3%
Tom Hoge●K0.4%0.3%1.5%0.4%+0.08%-0.08%+1.15%+0.03%
FanDuel +17500
40.4%0.4%
Beau Hossler●K0.7%0.7%1.5%0.8%+0.08%-0.03%+0.80%-0.05%
FanDuel +10000
130.8%0.8%0.9%0.7%
Trace Crowe●K0.1%0.2%0.2%+0.08%+0.07%+0.03%
Caesars +35000
220.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%
Chandler Blanchet●K0.4%0.4%1.5%0.4%+0.05%+0.04%+1.15%-0.01%
BetMGM +20000
130.3%0.7%0.4%0.5%
Adam Svensson●K0.4%0.3%0.6%0.4%+0.05%-0.05%+0.25%-0.08%
BetMGM +25000
130.3%0.4%0.3%0.4%
Ryan Voois●K0.1%0.1%0.1%+0.05%-0.03%+0.02%
Other +42500
2
Zac Blair●K0.4%0.4%1.5%0.5%+0.04%-0.10%+1.05%-0.07%
DraftKings +18000
50.6%0.4%0.7%
Taylor Moore●K0.8%1.1%1.5%0.8%+0.04%+0.29%+0.70%+0.00%
FanDuel +8000
130.8%0.8%1.0%0.8%
Taylor Pendrith●K1.1%1.2%1.5%1.1%+0.04%+0.13%+0.45%-0.02%
Caesars +6000
261.1%1.0%1.3%1.1%
Chan Kim●K0.4%0.4%1.5%0.5%+0.04%-0.03%+1.05%+0.03%
Other +14503
2
Patrick Fishburn●K0.4%0.4%0.6%0.4%+0.04%+0.00%+0.25%+0.04%
Other +20508
1
Hank Lebioda●K0.1%0.1%0.2%+0.04%-0.02%+0.02%
DraftKings +41000
110.2%0.2%0.2%0.3%
Davis Riley●K0.1%0.1%0.1%+0.04%-0.01%-0.03%
FanDuel +100000
170.1%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Kensei Hirata●K0.1%0.1%0.6%0.2%+0.04%-0.04%+0.45%+0.02%
BetMGM +40000
90.2%0.2%
Neal Shipley●K0.4%0.4%0.5%0.4%+0.04%-0.04%+0.15%-0.08%
BetMGM +20000
260.3%0.6%0.4%0.5%
Dylan Frittelli●K0.1%0.2%0.2%+0.04%+0.08%+0.01%
Caesars +35000
110.3%0.2%0.2%0.2%
Zecheng Dou●K0.4%0.5%0.5%+0.04%+0.04%-0.02%
BetMGM +15000
60.4%
Nick Dunlap●K0.1%0.2%0.6%0.2%+0.04%+0.01%+0.45%-0.02%
FanDuel +50000
80.2%0.2%0.1%
Luke List●K0.1%0.1%0.1%+0.03%-0.01%+0.02%
Caesars +47500
130.2%0.1%0.1%0.1%
A.J. Ewart●K0.4%0.4%0.5%+0.03%-0.01%-0.02%
Other +14169
3
Paul Peterson●K0.1%0.1%0.6%0.2%+0.02%-0.08%+0.45%-0.02%
FanDuel +50000
150.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Ben Silverman●K0.1%0.1%0.2%+0.02%-0.06%-0.02%
Caesars +47500
90.3%0.1%0.2%0.1%
Nicholas Lindheim●K0.1%0.0%0.1%+0.02%-0.07%-0.04%
Other +71500
80.1%0.1%0.1%
Nick Hardy●K0.1%0.1%0.1%+0.02%-0.04%-0.03%
FanDuel +100000
110.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Martin Laird●K0.1%0.1%0.1%+0.01%-0.03%-0.03%
DraftKings +105000
110.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
John VanDerLaan●K0.1%0.2%0.2%+0.01%+0.04%-0.06%
FanDuel +75000
140.2%0.1%0.2%0.1%
Alejandro Tosti●K0.1%0.2%0.2%+0.01%+0.07%-0.02%
DraftKings +46000
140.2%0.2%0.1%0.2%
Adam Schenk●K0.1%0.1%0.2%+0.01%+0.00%-0.06%
FanDuel +75000
110.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Patrick Rodgers●K0.5%0.5%1.5%0.5%+0.00%-0.03%+1.00%-0.13%
Other +16201
90.5%0.5%0.6%0.5%
Brian Campbell●K0.3%0.1%1.5%0.3%+0.00%-0.21%+1.20%-0.08%
PointsBet +30000
230.4%0.3%0.3%0.3%
Steven Fisk●K0.7%0.8%1.5%0.7%+0.00%+0.07%+0.80%-0.06%
FanDuel +10000
260.8%0.7%0.9%0.7%
Tyler Duncan●K0.1%0.1%0.1%+0.00%-0.04%-0.04%
DraftKings +52500
150.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Justin Lower●K0.1%0.1%0.1%+0.00%-0.06%-0.06%
FanDuel +75000
170.2%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Luke Clanton●K0.4%0.2%0.6%0.4%+0.00%-0.16%+0.20%-0.07%
PointsBet +20000
70.4%0.4%
Fabian Gomez●K0.1%0.1%0.1%+0.00%-0.02%-0.01%
DraftKings +47500
60.2%0.2%0.1%
Joel Dahmen●K0.3%0.2%0.6%0.3%+0.00%-0.07%+0.35%-0.06%
DraftKings +35000
110.2%0.3%0.2%0.3%
Gordon Sargent●K0.1%0.1%0.1%-0.01%-0.03%-0.04%
DraftKings +95000
60.1%
Dylan Wu●K0.2%0.1%0.5%0.2%-0.01%-0.09%+0.35%-0.05%
DraftKings +44000
110.2%0.2%0.1%0.2%
Camilo Villegas●K0.1%0.1%0.1%-0.01%-0.05%-0.04%
DraftKings +115000
190.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Marcelo Rozo●K0.1%0.1%0.1%-0.01%-0.02%-0.03%
Other +83333
50.1%0.2%
Harry Higgs●K0.2%0.1%0.6%0.2%-0.01%-0.06%+0.40%-0.07%
FanDuel +50000
220.3%0.2%0.2%0.1%
Ben Kohles●K0.9%0.8%1.5%0.9%-0.02%-0.12%+0.55%-0.15%
DraftKings +8400
130.8%1.0%0.8%0.9%
Lucas Glover●K0.5%0.3%1.5%0.5%-0.02%-0.24%+1.00%-0.11%
BetMGM +17500
150.4%0.6%0.4%0.7%
Peter Malnati●K0.1%0.1%0.1%-0.02%-0.03%-0.03%
Other +81250
60.1%0.1%
Sungjae Im●K1.5%1.8%1.5%-0.02%+0.27%-0.10%
BetMGM +4500
91.5%1.5%
Karl Vilips●K0.4%0.2%0.6%0.4%-0.03%-0.22%+0.20%-0.15%
Caesars +25000
60.3%0.3%
Tony Finau●K1.1%1.7%1.5%1.1%-0.03%+0.62%+0.40%-0.14%
PointsBet +6600
151.0%1.0%1.2%1.0%
Patton Kizzire●K0.1%0.0%0.1%-0.03%-0.07%-0.06%
Caesars +150000
90.0%0.0%0.1%
Brendon Todd●K0.1%0.0%0.1%-0.03%-0.09%-0.08%
DraftKings +400000
110.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%
Lee Hodges●K0.5%0.4%1.5%0.5%-0.03%-0.14%+0.95%-0.12%
BetMGM +15000
260.4%0.7%0.4%0.7%
Troy Merritt●K0.1%0.1%0.1%-0.03%-0.03%-0.06%
Caesars +150000
220.2%0.0%0.1%0.1%
Mason Howell●K0.1%0.1%0.1%-0.04%-0.05%-0.07%
DraftKings +250000
160.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%
Aaron Wise●K0.1%0.0%0.1%-0.04%-0.07%-0.07%
DraftKings +200000
140.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%
Jeremy Paul●K0.1%0.1%0.1%-0.04%-0.04%-0.06%
Caesars +150000
150.2%0.0%0.1%0.1%
Michael Brennan●K1.7%1.7%2.0%1.7%-0.04%+0.04%+0.30%-0.25%
DraftKings +4600
131.5%1.8%1.5%1.6%
Ryan Brehm●K0.1%0.0%0.1%-0.05%-0.07%-0.08%
DraftKings +325000
210.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%
Jhonattan Vegas●K0.4%0.4%1.5%0.4%-0.05%-0.07%+1.05%-0.09%
Caesars +17500
130.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
Aldrich Potgieter●K1.4%1.4%1.5%1.3%-0.05%+0.01%+0.15%-0.20%
Caesars +5000
91.2%1.3%1.3%
Darin Fisher●K0.1%0.1%-0.05%-0.09%
DraftKings +500000
60.0%0.0%0.1%
Rafael Campos●K0.1%0.0%0.1%-0.05%-0.08%-0.08%
DraftKings +350000
90.0%0.0%0.1%
Austin Smotherman●K0.8%0.7%1.5%0.7%-0.05%-0.05%+0.75%-0.15%
BetMGM +11000
130.6%0.8%0.7%0.7%
David Lipsky●K0.4%0.2%0.6%0.3%-0.05%-0.17%+0.25%-0.13%
PointsBet +30000
120.3%0.3%0.3%0.4%
Garrick Higgo●K0.7%0.5%1.5%0.6%-0.08%-0.16%+0.85%-0.21%
PointsBet +15000
100.6%0.5%
Max Homa●K1.3%1.1%1.5%1.2%-0.09%-0.13%+0.25%-0.13%
BetMGM +6000
51.1%
Pierceson Coody●K1.9%1.9%2.0%1.8%-0.10%-0.01%+0.10%-0.14%
Other +3651
5
Michael Kim●K1.6%1.6%2.0%1.4%-0.11%+0.04%+0.45%-0.33%
BetMGM +5500
221.2%1.5%1.5%1.4%
Mac Meissner●K1.4%1.8%2.0%1.3%-0.13%+0.36%+0.60%-0.27%
Caesars +5500
131.2%1.1%1.3%1.3%
Rico Hoey●K1.3%1.1%1.5%1.2%-0.13%-0.18%+0.20%-0.34%
Caesars +6000
241.3%1.0%1.4%1.2%
Michael Thorbjornsen●K2.6%1.8%2.0%2.5%-0.13%-0.81%-0.65%-0.40%
Other +2801
2
Davis Thompson●K1.5%1.2%1.5%1.3%-0.14%-0.24%+0.05%-0.32%
Caesars +5500
201.5%1.1%1.3%1.2%
Max McGreevy●K1.1%1.0%1.5%0.9%-0.14%-0.05%+0.45%-0.25%
DraftKings +7800
130.9%1.0%0.9%1.0%
William Mouw●K0.9%0.8%1.5%0.7%-0.14%-0.02%+0.65%-0.21%
FanDuel +10000
260.7%0.8%0.7%0.7%
Kevin Yu●K1.1%0.8%1.5%0.9%-0.14%-0.24%+0.45%-0.27%
Caesars +8000
130.8%0.8%1.0%0.8%
Jackson Suber●K1.5%1.1%1.5%1.3%-0.15%-0.30%+0.05%-0.30%
DraftKings +5600
131.2%1.5%1.2%1.3%
Daniel Berger●K1.4%1.3%1.5%1.2%-0.17%-0.01%+0.15%-0.26%
DraftKings +6100
131.1%1.1%1.1%1.2%
Blades Brown●K1.5%1.0%1.5%1.3%-0.18%-0.44%+0.05%-0.18%
Other +6252
1
Emiliano Grillo●K1.3%0.6%1.5%1.1%-0.18%-0.62%+0.25%-0.45%
DraftKings +8400
261.0%1.2%0.8%0.9%
Preston Stout●K0.7%0.6%1.5%0.5%-0.19%-0.08%+0.80%-0.30%
BetMGM +15000
130.4%0.6%0.5%0.7%
Jacob Bridgeman●K2.6%2.8%2.0%2.4%-0.20%+0.10%-0.65%-0.45%
DraftKings +3000
82.5%2.2%2.4%
Rickie Fowler●K2.1%1.8%2.0%1.8%-0.25%-0.23%-0.05%-0.44%
FanDuel +4000
71.8%1.6%
Eric Cole●K2.4%2.2%2.0%2.1%-0.28%-0.24%-0.40%-0.50%
BetMGM +3300
222.0%2.0%2.4%2.1%
Andrew Novak●K1.9%2.0%2.0%1.6%-0.29%+0.11%+0.10%-0.56%
BetMGM +5000
131.3%1.8%1.3%1.6%
Max Greyserman●K1.7%1.7%1.5%1.3%-0.32%+0.03%-0.15%-0.61%
Caesars +6000
201.3%1.0%1.5%1.2%
Keegan Bradley●K3.3%3.9%2.5%2.9%-0.38%+0.60%-0.80%-0.72%
DraftKings +2600
92.9%2.5%2.9%
Doug Ghim●K1.9%1.5%2.0%1.5%-0.42%-0.38%+0.10%-0.53%
Caesars +4500
171.7%1.4%1.5%1.4%
Tom Kim●K2.5%2.0%25.0%2.1%-0.45%-0.59%+22.45%-0.65%
DraftKings +3500
71.9%1.9%
Jordan Spieth●K2.7%2.5%2.5%2.1%-0.61%-0.18%-0.20%-0.94%
Caesars +3500
212.0%1.8%2.4%1.9%
Chris Gotterup●K5.1%5.9%3.4%4.3%-0.71%+0.88%-1.65%-1.53%
PointsBet +1700
114.5%3.7%4.6%3.9%
Keith Mitchell●K3.9%3.4%2.9%3.0%-0.80%-0.41%-0.95%-0.80%
Other +2551
1
Ben Griffin●K5.3%5.8%4.0%4.4%-0.83%+0.54%-1.30%-1.26%
Caesars +1400
134.5%4.2%4.8%4.7%
J.T. Poston●K3.3%1.9%2.4%-0.86%-1.32%-1.00%
BetMGM +2800
122.4%3.0%2.4%2.5%
Jackson Koivun●K4.2%3.1%2.5%2.8%-1.33%-1.00%-1.65%-1.85%
Caesars +2500
243.3%2.4%2.4%2.9%
Noah Goodwin0.1%0
Zach Bauchou0.8%1.5%0.8%
DraftKings +9400
260.8%0.8%0.7%0.8%
Lanto Griffin●K0.2%0.2%0.5%+0.02%+0.35%0
Haotong Li0.8%0.8%
Other +8313
260.8%0.8%0.9%0.8%
Johnny Keefer1.3%1.5%1.2%
Caesars +6000
31.0%1.2%
Zachary Bauchou●K0.9%0
Kevin Streelman●K0.1%0.1%-0.01%0
Danny Walker●K0.1%0.1%-0.04%0
Mark Hubbard●K0.4%0.3%0.6%-0.07%+0.25%0
Davis Chatfield●K0.1%0.1%-0.04%0
Taylor Montgomery●K0.2%0
Hao-Tong Li●K0.7%0
S.Y. Noh0.2%0.4%
BetMGM +20000
110.3%0.7%0.4%0.7%
Joe Highsmith●K0.1%0.1%-0.04%0
Jonathan Byrd●K0.1%0.0%-0.08%0
Robert Streb●K0.1%0.0%-0.10%0
Ben Martin●K0.1%0.0%-0.07%0
Pontus Nyholm●K0.1%0.2%+0.04%0
Seung-Yul Noh●K0.4%0
Nicolas Echavarria●K0.4%0.6%+0.20%0
John Keefer●K1.5%0
Christo Lamprecht0.1%0.1%
FanDuel +100000
190.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Jeffrey Kang●K0.2%0.1%-0.10%0
Trade on Kalshi →Trade on Polymarket →Sponsored · code SPORTSBOOKISH on Polymarket (iOS)

Kalshi = implied prob from bid/ask mid (or last trade if spread wide). DG = DataGolf model baseline. Books = de-vigged implied prob per book.

Buy edge = reference − Kalshi. Positive (green) = Kalshi cheaper than reference → good buy. Negative (red) = Kalshi overpriced → sell or bet at the books. “Edge vs best” compares Kalshi to the book offering the longest American odds.

John Deere Classic odds — FAQ

What Kalshi markets are available for the John Deere Classic?
Kalshi is currently pricing 852 markets across 146 players for the John Deere Classic, including outright winner, top 5, top 10, top 20, make cut, first-round leader, and head-to-head matchups. SportsBookISH compares each Kalshi price against 13 sportsbooks plus the DataGolf model baseline.
Where's the best buy opportunity at the John Deere Classic right now?
Christiaan Bezuidenhout currently shows the largest positive edge — Kalshi is priced 0.6 percentage points cheaper than the sportsbook consensus. Edges shift continuously during live tournaments; this snapshot reflects the last cron tick within the past 30 minutes.
How often do John Deere Classic odds update on SportsBookISH?
Kalshi quotes refresh every 5 minutes. DataGolf model + sportsbook lines refresh every 10 minutes. References older than 30 minutes are filtered out automatically. Elite subscribers can force-refresh any tournament on demand.
What does "edge vs books median" mean for John Deere Classic?
It's the difference between the sportsbook consensus implied probability (median of de-vigged book prices) and Kalshi's implied probability. Positive edge = Kalshi is priced cheaper than the books expect, suggesting a good BUY on Kalshi. Negative edge = Kalshi is more expensive, suggesting a SELL on Kalshi or a BET at the books.
How does Kalshi compare to sportsbooks for golf?
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange — you buy YES/NO contracts that settle at $1 or $0. Sportsbooks build a vig into outrights typically 15-25% on golf futures, vs Kalshi's max 7¢ trading fee. When Kalshi is priced cheaper than the no-vig book consensus, that's a +EV opportunity (after fee adjustment).