eplplayer_prop_first_goalSettled
Aston Villa vs Manchester City: First Goalscorer — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Erling Haaland at 24.5% versus Enzo Fernandez at 14.0%. Final book consensus: Erling Haaland — / Enzo Fernandez — / Rayan Cherki — / Nicolas Jackson — / Jeremy Doku — / Iliman Ndiaye — / Johan Manzambi — / John McGinn — / Alysson — / Elliot Anderson —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | 24.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Enzo Fernandez | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rayan Cherki | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nicolas Jackson | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Doku | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Iliman Ndiaye | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Johan Manzambi | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| John McGinn | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alysson | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Elliot Anderson | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Aston Villa vs Manchester City: First Goalscorer?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Erling Haaland priced at 24.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Aston Villa vs Manchester City: First Goalscorer?
- Erling Haaland: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Enzo Fernandez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rayan Cherki: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nicolas Jackson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Doku: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Iliman Ndiaye: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Johan Manzambi: — median de-vigged across 0 books · John McGinn: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alysson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elliot Anderson: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Aston Villa odds?
- For current EPL matchups, see the live EPL hub at /sports/epl, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/epl/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.