eplplayer_prop_first_goalSettled
Leeds United vs Manchester United: First Goalscorer — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Dominic Calvert-Lewin at 28.0% versus Bryan Mbeumo at 20.0%. Final book consensus: Dominic Calvert-Lewin — / Bryan Mbeumo — / Bruno Fernandes — / Amad Diallo — / Lisandro Martinez — / Ao Tanaka — / Youri Tielemans — / Harry Maguire — / James Justin — / Diogo Dalot — / Carlos Baleba — / Andrey Santos — / Leny Yoro —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryan Mbeumo | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | 19.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Amad Diallo | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lisandro Martinez | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ao Tanaka | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Youri Tielemans | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Harry Maguire | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| James Justin | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Diogo Dalot | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carlos Baleba | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrey Santos | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Leny Yoro | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Leeds United vs Manchester United: First Goalscorer?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Dominic Calvert-Lewin priced at 28.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Leeds United vs Manchester United: First Goalscorer?
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryan Mbeumo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bruno Fernandes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Amad Diallo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lisandro Martinez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ao Tanaka: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Youri Tielemans: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Harry Maguire: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James Justin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Diogo Dalot: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carlos Baleba: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrey Santos: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Leny Yoro: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Leeds United odds?
- For current EPL matchups, see the live EPL hub at /sports/epl, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/epl/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.