eplplayer_prop_first_goalSettled
Leeds United vs Newcastle: First Goalscorer — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Ao Tanaka at 89.0% versus Noah Okafor at 13.0%. Final book consensus: Ao Tanaka — / Noah Okafor — / Matias Fernandez — / Ethan Ampadu — / Yoane Wissa — / Tarik Muharemovic — / Dominic Calvert-Lewin — / Malick Thiaw — / Sven Botman — / Sean Steur — / Harvey Barnes — / Jayden Bogle — / Anton Stach — / No Goal — / Lewis Miley — / Amar Dedic — / Lewis Hall — / Gabriel Gudmundsson — / Nico Elvedi —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ao Tanaka | 89.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Noah Okafor | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matias Fernandez | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ethan Ampadu | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yoane Wissa | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tarik Muharemovic | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Malick Thiaw | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sven Botman | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sean Steur | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Harvey Barnes | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jayden Bogle | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Anton Stach | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| No Goal | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lewis Miley | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Amar Dedic | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lewis Hall | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nico Elvedi | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Leeds United vs Newcastle: First Goalscorer?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Ao Tanaka priced at 89.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Leeds United vs Newcastle: First Goalscorer?
- Ao Tanaka: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Noah Okafor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matias Fernandez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ethan Ampadu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yoane Wissa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tarik Muharemovic: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dominic Calvert-Lewin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Malick Thiaw: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sven Botman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sean Steur: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Harvey Barnes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jayden Bogle: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Anton Stach: — median de-vigged across 0 books · No Goal: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lewis Miley: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Amar Dedic: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lewis Hall: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Gudmundsson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nico Elvedi: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Leeds United odds?
- For current EPL matchups, see the live EPL hub at /sports/epl, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/epl/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.