eplplayer_prop_first_goalSettled
Manchester United vs Manchester City: First Goalscorer — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Erling Haaland at 15.5% versus Phil Foden at 15.0%. Final book consensus: Erling Haaland — / Phil Foden — / Antoine Semenyo — / Bruno Fernandes — / Matheus Cunha — / Marcus Rashford — / Rayan Cherki — / Enzo Fernandez — / Bryan Mbeumo — / Harry Maguire — / Youri Tielemans — / Kobbie Mainoo — / No Goal — / Elliot Anderson — / Patrick Dorgu — / Marc Guehi — / Josko Gvardiol — / Diogo Dalot — / Matheus Nunes —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | 15.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Phil Foden | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Antoine Semenyo | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matheus Cunha | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Marcus Rashford | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rayan Cherki | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Enzo Fernandez | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryan Mbeumo | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Harry Maguire | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Youri Tielemans | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kobbie Mainoo | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| No Goal | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Elliot Anderson | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Patrick Dorgu | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Marc Guehi | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josko Gvardiol | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Diogo Dalot | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matheus Nunes | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Manchester United vs Manchester City: First Goalscorer?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Erling Haaland priced at 15.5% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Manchester United vs Manchester City: First Goalscorer?
- Erling Haaland: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Phil Foden: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Antoine Semenyo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bruno Fernandes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matheus Cunha: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marcus Rashford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rayan Cherki: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Enzo Fernandez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryan Mbeumo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Harry Maguire: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Youri Tielemans: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kobbie Mainoo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · No Goal: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elliot Anderson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Patrick Dorgu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marc Guehi: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josko Gvardiol: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Diogo Dalot: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matheus Nunes: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Manchester United odds?
- For current EPL matchups, see the live EPL hub at /sports/epl, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/epl/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.