Arizona vs Boston: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Ceddanne Rafaela at 99.0% versus Nick Sogard at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Ceddanne Rafaela — / Nick Sogard — / Jose Fernandez — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Andruw Monasterio — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Tim Tawa — / Nick Sogard — / Andruw Monasterio — / Adley Rutschman — / Adley Rutschman — / Mickey Gasper — / Willson Contreras — / Mickey Gasper — / Willson Contreras — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Gabriel Moreno — / Caleb Durbin — / Jarren Duran — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Ildemaro Vargas — / James McCann — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Wilyer Abreu — / Caleb Durbin — / Adley Rutschman — / Gabriel Moreno — / Tim Tawa — / Andruw Monasterio — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Jarren Duran — / Mickey Gasper — / Nick Sogard — / Willson Contreras — / Corbin Carroll — / Corbin Carroll — / Gabriel Moreno — / Jordan Lawlar — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Jose Fernandez — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Jordan Lawlar — / James McCann — / Wilyer Abreu — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / James McCann — / Caleb Durbin — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Jarren Duran — / Tim Tawa — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Corbin Carroll — / Wilyer Abreu — / Gabriel Moreno —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Sogard | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Fernandez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andruw Monasterio | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Sogard | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andruw Monasterio | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adley Rutschman | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adley Rutschman | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Gasper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Gasper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 86.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 39.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 39.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 21.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adley Rutschman | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andruw Monasterio | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Gasper | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Sogard | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Fernandez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Arizona vs Boston: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Ceddanne Rafaela priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Arizona vs Boston: Hits?
- Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Sogard: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Fernandez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andruw Monasterio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Sogard: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andruw Monasterio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adley Rutschman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adley Rutschman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Gasper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Gasper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adley Rutschman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andruw Monasterio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Gasper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Sogard: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Fernandez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Arizona odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.