Arizona vs Cincinnati: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Ryan Waldschmidt at 99.0% versus Ketel Marte at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Ryan Waldschmidt — / Ketel Marte — / Corbin Carroll — / Corbin Carroll — / Ketel Marte — / Gabriel Moreno — / Gabriel Moreno — / Matt McLain — / Noelvi Marte — / Tommy Troy — / Edwin Arroyo — / JJ Bleday — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Corbin Carroll — / Edwin Arroyo — / Nolan Arenado — / Gabriel Moreno — / Ketel Marte — / Sal Stewart — / Adrian Del Castillo — / Spencer Steer — / Eugenio Suárez — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Tyler Stephenson — / Sal Stewart — / Nolan Arenado — / Spencer Steer — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Adrian Del Castillo — / JJ Bleday — / JJ Bleday — / Nathaniel Lowe — / Pavin Smith — / Tommy Troy — / Nolan Arenado — / Pavin Smith — / Tommy Troy — / Nathaniel Lowe — / Noelvi Marte —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt McLain | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Noelvi Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Troy | 97.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edwin Arroyo | 81.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 63.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 43.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edwin Arroyo | 25.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 25.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 7.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Adrian Del Castillo | 7.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Spencer Steer | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eugenio Suárez | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Stephenson | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Spencer Steer | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adrian Del Castillo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pavin Smith | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Troy | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pavin Smith | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Troy | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Noelvi Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Arizona vs Cincinnati: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Ryan Waldschmidt priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Arizona vs Cincinnati: Hits?
- Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt McLain: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Noelvi Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Troy: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edwin Arroyo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edwin Arroyo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adrian Del Castillo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Spencer Steer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eugenio Suárez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Stephenson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Spencer Steer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adrian Del Castillo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathaniel Lowe: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pavin Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Troy: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pavin Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Troy: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathaniel Lowe: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Noelvi Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Arizona odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.