mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
Arizona vs Cincinnati: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Noelvi Marte at 99.0% versus JJ Bleday at 6.5%. Final book consensus: Noelvi Marte — / JJ Bleday — / Matt McLain — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Sal Stewart — / Sal Stewart — / Eugenio Suárez — / Spencer Steer — / Noelvi Marte — / Gabriel Moreno — / Dane Myers — / Nolan Arenado — / Tyler Stephenson — / Blake Dunn — / Jordan Lawlar — / LuJames Groover — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Ketel Marte — / Eugenio Suárez — / Spencer Steer — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Tyler Stephenson — / Ketel Marte — / Corbin Carroll — / Corbin Carroll —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noelvi Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 6.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt McLain | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eugenio Suárez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Spencer Steer | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Noelvi Marte | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dane Myers | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Stephenson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Blake Dunn | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| LuJames Groover | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eugenio Suárez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Spencer Steer | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Stephenson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Arizona vs Cincinnati: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Noelvi Marte priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Arizona vs Cincinnati: Home Runs?
- Noelvi Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt McLain: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eugenio Suárez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Spencer Steer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Noelvi Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dane Myers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Stephenson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Blake Dunn: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · LuJames Groover: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eugenio Suárez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Spencer Steer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Stephenson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Arizona odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.