Arizona vs Cleveland: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Patrick Bailey at 99.0% versus Brayan Rocchio at 12.0%. Final book consensus: Patrick Bailey — / Brayan Rocchio — / Gabriel Moreno — / Gabriel Arias — / Tyler Locklear — / Tim Tawa — / Travis Bazzana — / Ketel Marte — / Kyle Manzardo — / Patrick Bailey — / Nolan Arenado — / Max Kepler — / Corbin Carroll — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Petey Halpin — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Brayan Rocchio — / Chase DeLauter — / Chase DeLauter — / Kyle Manzardo — / José Ramírez — / José Ramírez — / Gabriel Arias — / Gabriel Moreno — / Petey Halpin — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Nolan Arenado — / Tyler Locklear — / Steven Kwan — / Tim Tawa —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Bailey | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brayan Rocchio | 12.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Arias | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Locklear | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Travis Bazzana | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Manzardo | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Patrick Bailey | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Max Kepler | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Petey Halpin | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brayan Rocchio | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chase DeLauter | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chase DeLauter | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Manzardo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| José Ramírez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| José Ramírez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Arias | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Petey Halpin | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Locklear | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Steven Kwan | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Arizona vs Cleveland: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Patrick Bailey priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Arizona vs Cleveland: Home Runs?
- Patrick Bailey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brayan Rocchio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Arias: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Locklear: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Travis Bazzana: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Manzardo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Patrick Bailey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Max Kepler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Petey Halpin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brayan Rocchio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chase DeLauter: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chase DeLauter: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Manzardo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · José Ramírez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · José Ramírez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Arias: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Petey Halpin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Locklear: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Steven Kwan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Arizona odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.