Arizona vs Houston: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Nolan Arenado at 99.0% versus Corbin Carroll at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Nolan Arenado — / Corbin Carroll — / Ketel Marte — / Jose Altuve — / Lars Nootbaar — / Gabriel Moreno — / Isaac Paredes — / Isaac Paredes — / Cam Smith — / Gabriel Moreno — / Cam Smith — / Tim Tawa — / Daulton Varsho — / Yainer Diaz — / Yainer Diaz — / Taylor Trammell — / Lars Nootbaar — / Corbin Carroll — / Max Kepler — / Nolan Arenado — / Taylor Trammell — / Jose Altuve — / Isaac Paredes — / Yordan Alvarez — / Daulton Varsho — / Christian Walker — / Corbin Carroll — / Yainer Diaz — / Jose Altuve — / Jeremy Peña — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Tim Tawa — / Yordan Alvarez — / Jeremy Peña — / Ketel Marte — / Christian Walker — / Jeremy Peña — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Gabriel Moreno — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Max Kepler — / Yordan Alvarez — / Taylor Trammell — / Nolan Arenado — / Ketel Marte — / Christian Walker — / Daulton Varsho — / Max Kepler — / Cam Smith — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Tim Tawa — / Yordan Alvarez — / Jeremy Peña — / Lars Nootbaar — / Ryan Waldschmidt —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 51.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Max Kepler | 46.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 35.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 27.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Max Kepler | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Max Kepler | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Arizona vs Houston: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Nolan Arenado priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Arizona vs Houston: Hits?
- Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Max Kepler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Max Kepler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Max Kepler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Arizona odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.