Arizona vs Houston: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Ildemaro Vargas at 99.0% versus Christian Vázquez at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Ildemaro Vargas — / Christian Vázquez — / James McCann — / Gabriel Moreno — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Corbin Carroll — / Jose Altuve — / Jose Altuve — / Ketel Marte — / Corbin Carroll — / Christian Walker — / Yordan Alvarez — / Nolan Arenado — / Jose Altuve — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Corbin Carroll — / Daulton Varsho — / Jeremy Peña — / Ketel Marte — / Yordan Alvarez — / Tommy Troy — / Gabriel Moreno — / Cam Smith — / Yordan Alvarez — / Christian Walker — / Jordan Lawlar — / Tommy Troy — / James McCann — / Isaac Paredes — / Isaac Paredes — / Daulton Varsho — / Cam Smith — / Jordan Lawlar — / Nolan Arenado — / Nelson Velázquez — / Jeremy Peña — / Christian Vázquez — / Jeremy Peña — / Gabriel Moreno — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Isaac Paredes — / Ketel Marte — / Tommy Troy — / Yordan Alvarez — / Daulton Varsho — / Geraldo Perdomo — / James McCann — / Cam Smith — / Nolan Arenado — / Christian Walker — / Nelson Velázquez — / Christian Vázquez — / Nelson Velázquez —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ildemaro Vargas | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Vázquez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 40.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 40.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 32.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Troy | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Troy | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nelson Velázquez | 12.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 12.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Vázquez | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Troy | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nelson Velázquez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Vázquez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nelson Velázquez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Arizona vs Houston: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Ildemaro Vargas priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Arizona vs Houston: Hits?
- Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Vázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Troy: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Troy: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nelson Velázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Vázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Troy: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nelson Velázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Vázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nelson Velázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Arizona odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.