Arizona vs Houston: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Yordan Alvarez at 99.0% versus Nolan Arenado at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Yordan Alvarez — / Nolan Arenado — / Nolan Arenado — / Jordan Lawlar — / Yordan Alvarez — / Jeremy Peña — / Jeremy Peña — / Isaac Paredes — / Corbin Carroll — / Ketel Marte — / Gabriel Moreno — / Christian Walker — / Jose Altuve — / Ketel Marte — / Tommy Troy — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Jordan Lawlar — / James McCann — / Christian Vázquez — / Cam Smith — / Tommy Troy — / Cam Smith — / Nelson Velázquez — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Nelson Velázquez — / Christian Vázquez — / Gabriel Moreno — / James McCann — / Daulton Varsho — / Isaac Paredes — / Jose Altuve — / Christian Walker — / Corbin Carroll —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 29.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Troy | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Vázquez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Troy | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nelson Velázquez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nelson Velázquez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Vázquez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Arizona vs Houston: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Yordan Alvarez priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Arizona vs Houston: Home Runs?
- Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Troy: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Vázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Troy: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nelson Velázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nelson Velázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Vázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Arizona odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.