Arizona vs Kansas City: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Tim Tawa at 99.0% versus Ildemaro Vargas at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Tim Tawa — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Kyle Isbel — / Isaac Collins — / John Rave — / Michael Massey — / Jordan Lawlar — / Jordan Lawlar — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — / Carter Jensen — / Nolan Arenado — / Bobby Witt Jr. — / Ketel Marte — / Bobby Witt Jr. — / Nolan Arenado — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Michael Massey — / Ketel Marte — / Carter Jensen — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — / Salvador Perez — / Kyle Isbel — / Vinnie Pasquantino — / Nick Loftin — / John Rave — / Lars Nootbaar — / Isaac Collins — / James McCann — / Tim Tawa — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Lars Nootbaar — / Ketel Marte — / Michael Massey — / Bobby Witt Jr. — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Tim Tawa — / Vinnie Pasquantino — / Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — / Bobby Witt Jr. — / James McCann — / Nolan Arenado — / Kyle Isbel — / Nick Loftin — / John Rave — / Carter Jensen — / Salvador Perez — / Jordan Lawlar — / Salvador Perez — / Nolan Arenado — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Nick Loftin — / Vinnie Pasquantino — / James McCann — / Lars Nootbaar — / Ketel Marte —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Tawa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Isbel | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Collins | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| John Rave | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Massey | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carter Jensen | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 29.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Massey | 27.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carter Jensen | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 21.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Salvador Perez | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Isbel | 19.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Loftin | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| John Rave | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Collins | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Massey | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Isbel | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Loftin | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| John Rave | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carter Jensen | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Salvador Perez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Salvador Perez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Loftin | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Arizona vs Kansas City: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Tim Tawa priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Arizona vs Kansas City: Hits?
- Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Isbel: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Collins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · John Rave: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Massey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carter Jensen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bobby Witt Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bobby Witt Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Massey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carter Jensen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Salvador Perez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Isbel: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vinnie Pasquantino: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Loftin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · John Rave: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Collins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Massey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bobby Witt Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vinnie Pasquantino: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bobby Witt Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Isbel: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Loftin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · John Rave: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carter Jensen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Salvador Perez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Salvador Perez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Loftin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vinnie Pasquantino: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Arizona odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.