Arizona vs Kansas City: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Nick Loftin at 42.0% versus Corbin Carroll at 16.0%. Final book consensus: Nick Loftin — / Corbin Carroll — / Jac Caglianone — / John Rave — / Bobby Witt Jr. — / Kyle Isbel — / Nick Loftin — / Michael Massey — / Jac Caglianone — / Gabriel Moreno — / Tim Tawa — / Jordan Lawlar — / Michael Massey — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Nolan Arenado — / Bobby Witt Jr. — / Ketel Marte — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Vinnie Pasquantino — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — / Matthew Lugo — / Vinnie Pasquantino — / John Rave — / Tim Tawa — / Matthew Lugo — / Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — / Gabriel Moreno — / Ryan Waldschmidt — / Jordan Lawlar — / Ketel Marte — / Salvador Perez — / Carter Jensen — / Nolan Arenado — / Salvador Perez — / Carter Jensen —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Loftin | 42.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jac Caglianone | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| John Rave | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Isbel | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Loftin | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Massey | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jac Caglianone | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Massey | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matthew Lugo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| John Rave | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matthew Lugo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Salvador Perez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carter Jensen | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Salvador Perez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carter Jensen | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Arizona vs Kansas City: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Nick Loftin priced at 42.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Arizona vs Kansas City: Home Runs?
- Nick Loftin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jac Caglianone: — median de-vigged across 0 books · John Rave: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bobby Witt Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Isbel: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Loftin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Massey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jac Caglianone: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Massey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bobby Witt Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vinnie Pasquantino: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matthew Lugo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vinnie Pasquantino: — median de-vigged across 0 books · John Rave: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matthew Lugo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Waldschmidt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Salvador Perez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carter Jensen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Salvador Perez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carter Jensen: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Arizona odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.