Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Fernando Tatis Jr. at 99.0% versus Jackson Merrill at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Jackson Merrill — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Nolan Arenado — / Jordan Lawlar — / Tim Tawa — / Luis Campusano — / Gabriel Moreno — / Lars Nootbaar — / Gabriel Moreno — / Dustin Harris — / Xander Bogaerts — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Xander Bogaerts — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Jake Cronenworth — / Ty France — / Dustin Harris — / Samad Taylor — / Jackson Merrill — / Manny Machado — / Jake Cronenworth — / Ketel Marte — / Corbin Carroll — / Tim Tawa — / Jordan Lawlar — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Jackson Merrill — / Manny Machado — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Luis Campusano — / Jake Cronenworth — / Samad Taylor — / Ty France — / Dustin Harris — / Gabriel Moreno — / Nolan Arenado — / Pavin Smith — / Corbin Carroll — / Manny Machado — / Ty France — / Pavin Smith — / Ketel Marte — / Lars Nootbaar — / Luis Campusano — / Samad Taylor — / Tim Tawa — / Corbin Carroll — / Nolan Arenado — / Ketel Marte — / Xander Bogaerts — / Lars Nootbaar — / Gabriel Moreno —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dustin Harris | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 92.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 85.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 44.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dustin Harris | 44.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Samad Taylor | 43.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 37.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 32.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 27.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 25.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 19.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 12.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Samad Taylor | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dustin Harris | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pavin Smith | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pavin Smith | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Samad Taylor | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Fernando Tatis Jr. priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres: Hits?
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dustin Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dustin Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Samad Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Samad Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dustin Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pavin Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pavin Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Samad Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Arizona Diamondbacks odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.