Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Gavin Sheets at 99.0% versus Tim Tawa at 39.0%. Final book consensus: Gavin Sheets — / Tim Tawa — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / James McCann — / Jackson Merrill — / Nolan Arenado — / Sung-Mun Song — / Gabriel Moreno — / Dustin Harris — / Nolan Arenado — / Pavin Smith — / Jake Cronenworth — / Jake Cronenworth — / Freddy Fermin — / Manny Machado — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Austin Hays — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Sung-Mun Song — / Jase Bowen — / Ty France — / Dustin Harris — / Gavin Sheets — / Lars Nootbaar — / Ketel Marte — / Corbin Carroll — / Corbin Carroll — / Ketel Marte — / Manny Machado — / Freddy Fermin —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 39.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| James McCann | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sung-Mun Song | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dustin Harris | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pavin Smith | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Freddy Fermin | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Austin Hays | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sung-Mun Song | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jase Bowen | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dustin Harris | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Freddy Fermin | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Gavin Sheets priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres: Home Runs?
- Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · James McCann: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sung-Mun Song: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dustin Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pavin Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Freddy Fermin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Austin Hays: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sung-Mun Song: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jase Bowen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dustin Harris: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Freddy Fermin: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Arizona Diamondbacks odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.