Arizona vs St. Louis: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Ketel Marte at 99.0% versus José Fermín at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Ketel Marte — / José Fermín — / LuJames Groover — / Ketel Marte — / Nolan Arenado — / Blaze Jordan — / Lars Nootbaar — / Masyn Winn — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Pedro Pagés — / Corbin Carroll — / Corbin Carroll — / Gabriel Moreno — / JJ Wetherholt — / Jordan Walker — / Jordan Walker — / Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — / Tommy Troy — / Nelson Velázquez — / Masyn Winn — / Blaze Jordan — / Gabriel Moreno — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Ivan Herrera — / Ivan Herrera — / JJ Wetherholt — / Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — / Nolan Arenado — / Tommy Troy —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| José Fermín | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| LuJames Groover | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 7.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Blaze Jordan | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Masyn Winn | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pedro Pagés | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Wetherholt | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Walker | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Walker | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Troy | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nelson Velázquez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Masyn Winn | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Blaze Jordan | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ivan Herrera | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ivan Herrera | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Wetherholt | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Troy | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Arizona vs St. Louis: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Ketel Marte priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Arizona vs St. Louis: Home Runs?
- Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · José Fermín: — median de-vigged across 0 books · LuJames Groover: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Blaze Jordan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Masyn Winn: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pedro Pagés: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Wetherholt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Troy: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nelson Velázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Masyn Winn: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Blaze Jordan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ivan Herrera: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ivan Herrera: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Wetherholt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Troy: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Arizona odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.