Arizona vs Tampa Bay: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Ketel Marte at 99.0% versus Geraldo Perdomo at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Ketel Marte — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Nick Fortes — / Victor Mesa — / Junior Caminero — / Taylor Walls — / Junior Caminero — / Pavin Smith — / Cedric Mullins — / Chandler Simpson — / Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — / Yandy Díaz — / Adrian Del Castillo — / Ben Williamson — / Junior Caminero — / Corbin Carroll — / Tommy Troy — / Jonathan Aranda — / Cedric Mullins — / Yandy Díaz — / Cedric Mullins — / Chandler Simpson — / Ketel Marte — / Chandler Simpson — / Nolan Arenado — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Ildemaro Vargas — / Nolan Arenado — / Tommy Troy — / Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — / Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — / Corbin Carroll — / Corbin Carroll — / Ketel Marte — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Jonathan Aranda — / Jonathan Aranda — / Adrian Del Castillo — / Yandy Díaz —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pavin Smith | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adrian Del Castillo | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ben Williamson | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 92.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 65.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Troy | 45.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 35.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 29.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 19.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 19.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy Troy | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adrian Del Castillo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Arizona vs Tampa Bay: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Ketel Marte priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Arizona vs Tampa Bay: Hits?
- Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pavin Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adrian Del Castillo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ben Williamson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Troy: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ildemaro Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy Troy: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adrian Del Castillo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Arizona odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.