Baltimore vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Pete Alonso at 99.0% versus Jorge Mateo at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Pete Alonso — / Jorge Mateo — / Ryan Vilade — / Yandy Díaz — / Coby Mayo — / Christian Encarnacion-Strand — / Liam Hicks — / Richie Palacios — / Ryan Vilade — / Jorge Mateo — / Jackson Holliday — / Junior Caminero — / Richie Palacios — / Chandler Simpson — / Cedric Mullins — / Tyler O'Neill — / Gunnar Henderson — / Gunnar Henderson — / Pete Alonso — / Jonathan Aranda — / Jonathan Aranda — / Junior Caminero — / Yandy Díaz — / Tyler O'Neill — / Liam Hicks — / Carlos Narváez — / Jeremiah Jackson — / Jackson Holliday — / Coby Mayo — / Christian Encarnacion-Strand — / Cedric Mullins — / Christian Franklin —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jorge Mateo | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Coby Mayo | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Liam Hicks | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jorge Mateo | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Holliday | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler O'Neill | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gunnar Henderson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gunnar Henderson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pete Alonso | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler O'Neill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Liam Hicks | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carlos Narváez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremiah Jackson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Holliday | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Coby Mayo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Franklin | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Baltimore vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Pete Alonso priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Baltimore vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- Pete Alonso: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jorge Mateo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Coby Mayo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Encarnacion-Strand: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Liam Hicks: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jorge Mateo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Holliday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler O'Neill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gunnar Henderson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gunnar Henderson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pete Alonso: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler O'Neill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Liam Hicks: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carlos Narváez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremiah Jackson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Holliday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Coby Mayo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Encarnacion-Strand: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Franklin: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Baltimore odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.