mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
Boston vs Chicago WS: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Ceddanne Rafaela at 16.0% versus Masataka Yoshida at 13.0%. Final book consensus: Ceddanne Rafaela — / Masataka Yoshida — / Sam Antonacci — / Luisangel Acuña — / Caleb Durbin — / Wilyer Abreu — / Randal Grichuk — / Randal Grichuk — / Miguel Vargas — / Jarren Duran — / Braden Montgomery — / Chase Meidroth — / Jarren Duran — / Junior Perez — / Kyle Teel — / Carlos Narváez — / Colson Montgomery — / Braden Montgomery — / Colson Montgomery — / Tsung-Che Cheng — / Miguel Vargas — / Anthony Seigler — / Wilyer Abreu — / Willson Contreras —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Masataka Yoshida | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sam Antonacci | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luisangel Acuña | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Randal Grichuk | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Randal Grichuk | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Vargas | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Braden Montgomery | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chase Meidroth | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Perez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Teel | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carlos Narváez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Colson Montgomery | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Braden Montgomery | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Colson Montgomery | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tsung-Che Cheng | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Vargas | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Anthony Seigler | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Boston vs Chicago WS: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Ceddanne Rafaela priced at 16.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Boston vs Chicago WS: Home Runs?
- Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Masataka Yoshida: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sam Antonacci: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luisangel Acuña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randal Grichuk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randal Grichuk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Braden Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chase Meidroth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Perez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Teel: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carlos Narváez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colson Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Braden Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colson Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tsung-Che Cheng: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Anthony Seigler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Boston odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.