Boston vs New York M: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Ceddanne Rafaela at 99.0% versus Francisco Alvarez at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Ceddanne Rafaela — / Francisco Alvarez — / Francisco Alvarez — / Jorge Polanco — / Caleb Durbin — / Andruw Monasterio — / Caleb Durbin — / Andruw Monasterio — / Masataka Yoshida — / Carlos Narváez — / A.J. Ewing — / Carson Benge — / Wilyer Abreu — / Andruw Monasterio — / Juan Soto — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Francisco Lindor — / Anthony Seigler — / A.J. Ewing — / Francisco Alvarez — / Caleb Durbin — / Brett Baty — / Carson Benge — / Carson Benge — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Jarren Duran — / Zack Short — / Wilyer Abreu — / A.J. Ewing — / Carlos Narváez — / Masataka Yoshida — / Tsung-Che Cheng — / Jorge Polanco — / Wilyer Abreu — / Brett Baty — / Masataka Yoshida — / Anthony Seigler — / Francisco Lindor — / Francisco Lindor — / Juan Soto — / Juan Soto — / Jarren Duran — / Tsung-Che Cheng — / Zack Short —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Alvarez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Alvarez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jorge Polanco | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andruw Monasterio | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andruw Monasterio | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Masataka Yoshida | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carlos Narváez | 59.0% | — | 0 | — |
| A.J. Ewing | 56.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 55.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 33.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andruw Monasterio | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 27.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Lindor | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Anthony Seigler | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| A.J. Ewing | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Alvarez | 19.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Baty | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Benge | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Zack Short | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| A.J. Ewing | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carlos Narváez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Masataka Yoshida | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tsung-Che Cheng | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jorge Polanco | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Baty | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Masataka Yoshida | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Anthony Seigler | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Lindor | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Francisco Lindor | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Juan Soto | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tsung-Che Cheng | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Zack Short | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Boston vs New York M: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Ceddanne Rafaela priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Boston vs New York M: Hits?
- Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jorge Polanco: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andruw Monasterio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andruw Monasterio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Masataka Yoshida: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carlos Narváez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · A.J. Ewing: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andruw Monasterio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Lindor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Anthony Seigler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · A.J. Ewing: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Baty: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Benge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Zack Short: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · A.J. Ewing: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carlos Narváez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Masataka Yoshida: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tsung-Che Cheng: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jorge Polanco: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Baty: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Masataka Yoshida: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Anthony Seigler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Lindor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Francisco Lindor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Juan Soto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tsung-Che Cheng: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Zack Short: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Boston odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.