Boston vs Pittsburgh: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Connor Wong at 99.0% versus Esmerlyn Valdez at 8.0%. Final book consensus: Connor Wong — / Esmerlyn Valdez — / Connor Wong — / Caleb Durbin — / Nick Sogard — / Andruw Monasterio — / Adley Rutschman — / Billy Cook — / Henry Davis — / Nick Yorke — / Wilyer Abreu — / Wilyer Abreu — / Anthony Seigler — / Jarren Duran — / Brandon Lowe — / Jake Mangum — / Jared Triolo — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Adley Rutschman — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Caleb Durbin — / Billy Cook — / Brandon Lowe — / Bryan Reynolds — / Bryan Reynolds — / Esmerlyn Valdez — / Henry Davis — / Nick Yorke — / Rafael Flores — / Rafael Flores —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Wong | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Connor Wong | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Sogard | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andruw Monasterio | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adley Rutschman | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Billy Cook | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Henry Davis | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Yorke | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Anthony Seigler | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Lowe | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Mangum | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jared Triolo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adley Rutschman | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Billy Cook | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Lowe | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Henry Davis | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Yorke | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Flores | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Flores | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Boston vs Pittsburgh: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Connor Wong priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Boston vs Pittsburgh: Home Runs?
- Connor Wong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Esmerlyn Valdez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Connor Wong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Sogard: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andruw Monasterio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adley Rutschman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Billy Cook: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Henry Davis: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Yorke: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Anthony Seigler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Lowe: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Mangum: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jared Triolo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adley Rutschman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Billy Cook: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Lowe: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryan Reynolds: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryan Reynolds: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Esmerlyn Valdez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Henry Davis: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Yorke: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Flores: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Flores: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Boston odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.