Boston vs Tampa Bay: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Ceddanne Rafaela at 99.0% versus Cedric Mullins at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Ceddanne Rafaela — / Cedric Mullins — / Marcelo Mayer — / Mickey Gasper — / Nick Fortes — / Ryan Vilade — / Jonathan Aranda — / Yandy Díaz — / Wilyer Abreu — / Willson Contreras — / Ben Williamson — / Junior Caminero — / Carlos Narváez — / Jarren Duran — / Taylor Walls — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Isiah Kiner-Falefa — / Mickey Gasper — / Nick Fortes — / Jonathan Aranda — / Willson Contreras — / Jonathan Aranda — / Ryan Vilade — / Cedric Mullins — / Junior Caminero — / Junior Caminero — / Ben Williamson — / Caleb Durbin — / Carlos Narváez — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Cedric Mullins — / Isiah Kiner-Falefa — / Isiah Kiner-Falefa — / Jarren Duran — / Jarren Duran — / Marcelo Mayer — / Ryan Vilade — / Taylor Walls — / Taylor Walls — / Wilyer Abreu — / Wilyer Abreu — / Yandy Díaz — / Carlos Narváez — / Willson Contreras — / Yandy Díaz —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Marcelo Mayer | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Gasper | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 98.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 93.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 58.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ben Williamson | 57.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 55.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carlos Narváez | 53.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 47.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 36.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 30.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 30.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Gasper | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ben Williamson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carlos Narváez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Marcelo Mayer | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carlos Narváez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Boston vs Tampa Bay: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Ceddanne Rafaela priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Boston vs Tampa Bay: Hits?
- Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marcelo Mayer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Gasper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ben Williamson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carlos Narváez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isiah Kiner-Falefa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Gasper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ben Williamson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carlos Narváez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isiah Kiner-Falefa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isiah Kiner-Falefa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marcelo Mayer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carlos Narváez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Boston odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.