mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
Boston vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Jonathan Aranda at 11.0% versus Willson Contreras at 4.0%. Final book consensus: Jonathan Aranda — / Willson Contreras — / Chandler Simpson — / Cedric Mullins — / Austin Slater — / Jarren Duran — / Isiah Kiner-Falefa — / Marcelo Mayer — / Masataka Yoshida — / Nick Fortes — / Richie Palacios — / Ryan Vilade — / Wilyer Abreu — / Willson Contreras — / Yandy Díaz — / Wilyer Abreu — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Ben Williamson — / Junior Caminero — / Mickey Gasper — / Junior Caminero — / Caleb Durbin — / Isiah Kiner-Falefa — / Austin Slater — / Jonathan Aranda —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Austin Slater | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Marcelo Mayer | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Masataka Yoshida | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ben Williamson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Gasper | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Austin Slater | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Boston vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Jonathan Aranda priced at 11.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Boston vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Austin Slater: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isiah Kiner-Falefa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Marcelo Mayer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Masataka Yoshida: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ben Williamson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Gasper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isiah Kiner-Falefa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Austin Slater: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Boston odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.