Boston vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Jonathan Aranda at 99.0% versus Yandy Díaz at 13.0%. Final book consensus: Jonathan Aranda — / Yandy Díaz — / Adley Rutschman — / Trevor Story — / Jarren Duran — / Wilyer Abreu — / Roman Anthony — / Caleb Durbin — / Isiah Kiner-Falefa — / Victor Mesa — / Jorge Mateo — / Mickey Gasper — / Wilyer Abreu — / Junior Caminero — / Adley Rutschman — / Jarren Duran — / Nick Sogard — / Richie Palacios — / Trevor Story — / Junior Caminero — / Jake Fraley — / Roman Anthony — / Jonathan Aranda — / Cedric Mullins — / Chandler Simpson — / Mickey Gasper — / Jorge Mateo — / Liam Hicks — / Victor Mesa — / Jake Fraley —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adley Rutschman | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trevor Story | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Roman Anthony | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jorge Mateo | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Gasper | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adley Rutschman | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Sogard | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trevor Story | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Fraley | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Roman Anthony | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Gasper | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jorge Mateo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Liam Hicks | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Fraley | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Boston vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Jonathan Aranda priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Boston vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adley Rutschman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trevor Story: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Roman Anthony: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isiah Kiner-Falefa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jorge Mateo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Gasper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adley Rutschman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Sogard: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trevor Story: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Fraley: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Roman Anthony: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Gasper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jorge Mateo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Liam Hicks: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Fraley: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Boston odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.