Boston vs Toronto: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Caleb Durbin at 99.0% versus Caleb Durbin at 29.0%. Final book consensus: Caleb Durbin — / Caleb Durbin — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Willson Contreras — / Willson Contreras — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Masataka Yoshida — / Brandon Valenzuela — / Charles McAdoo — / Myles Straw — / Andrés Giménez — / Wilyer Abreu — / Ernie Clement — / Connor Wong — / George Springer — / George Springer — / Jarren Duran — / Nick Sogard — / Nathan Lukes — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Andruw Monasterio — / Connor Wong — / Ceddanne Rafaela — / Wilyer Abreu — / Masataka Yoshida — / Andrés Giménez — / Myles Straw — / Jarren Duran — / Nick Sogard —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Durbin | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 29.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Willson Contreras | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Masataka Yoshida | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Valenzuela | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Charles McAdoo | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Myles Straw | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Connor Wong | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| George Springer | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Sogard | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andruw Monasterio | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Connor Wong | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Masataka Yoshida | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Myles Straw | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Sogard | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Boston vs Toronto: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Caleb Durbin priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Boston vs Toronto: Home Runs?
- Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willson Contreras: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Masataka Yoshida: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Valenzuela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Charles McAdoo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Myles Straw: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Connor Wong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · George Springer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Sogard: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andruw Monasterio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Connor Wong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ceddanne Rafaela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Masataka Yoshida: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Myles Straw: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Sogard: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Boston odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.