Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox: Game 1 Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Nick Sogard at 13.0% versus Wilyer Abreu at 12.0%. Final book consensus: Nick Sogard — / Wilyer Abreu — / Ian Happ — / Miguel Amaya — / Pete Crow-Armstrong — / Matt Shaw — / Dansby Swanson — / Ian Happ — / Isiah Kiner-Falefa — / Seiya Suzuki — / Nico Hoerner — / Caleb Durbin — / Miguel Amaya — / Adley Rutschman — / Matt Shaw — / Roman Anthony — / Pete Crow-Armstrong — / Roman Anthony — / Seiya Suzuki — / Michael Busch — / Wilyer Abreu — / Adley Rutschman — / Jarren Duran — / Mickey Gasper — / Michael Busch — / Alex Bregman — / Dansby Swanson — / Alex Bregman — / Tyrone Taylor — / Mickey Gasper — / Tyrone Taylor — / Andruw Monasterio — / Jarren Duran —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sogard | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 12.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ian Happ | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Amaya | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 7.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt Shaw | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dansby Swanson | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ian Happ | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Seiya Suzuki | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Nico Hoerner | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Caleb Durbin | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Amaya | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adley Rutschman | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt Shaw | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Roman Anthony | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Roman Anthony | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Seiya Suzuki | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Busch | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Wilyer Abreu | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Adley Rutschman | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Gasper | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Busch | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alex Bregman | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dansby Swanson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alex Bregman | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyrone Taylor | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Mickey Gasper | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyrone Taylor | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andruw Monasterio | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jarren Duran | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox: Game 1 Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Nick Sogard priced at 13.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox: Game 1 Home Runs?
- Nick Sogard: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ian Happ: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Amaya: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pete Crow-Armstrong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt Shaw: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dansby Swanson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ian Happ: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isiah Kiner-Falefa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Seiya Suzuki: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nico Hoerner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Caleb Durbin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Amaya: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adley Rutschman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt Shaw: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Roman Anthony: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pete Crow-Armstrong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Roman Anthony: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Seiya Suzuki: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Busch: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Wilyer Abreu: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Adley Rutschman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Gasper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Busch: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alex Bregman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dansby Swanson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alex Bregman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyrone Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mickey Gasper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyrone Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andruw Monasterio: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarren Duran: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Chicago Cubs odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.