Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Manny Machado at 99.0% versus Fernando Tatis Jr. at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Manny Machado — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Xander Bogaerts — / Michael Busch — / Austin Hays — / Dansby Swanson — / Alex Bregman — / Ian Happ — / Austin Hays — / Michael Busch — / Seiya Suzuki — / Seiya Suzuki — / Ian Happ — / Luis Campusano — / Nico Hoerner — / Xander Bogaerts — / Luis Campusano — / Dansby Swanson — / Alex Bregman — / Manny Machado — / Pete Crow-Armstrong — / Jackson Merrill — / Jackson Merrill — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Pete Crow-Armstrong — / Ty France — / Samad Taylor — / Pedro Ramirez — / Pedro Ramirez — / Carson Kelly — / Jake Cronenworth — / Carson Kelly — / Ty France —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Busch | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Austin Hays | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dansby Swanson | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alex Bregman | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ian Happ | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Austin Hays | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Busch | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Seiya Suzuki | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Seiya Suzuki | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ian Happ | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nico Hoerner | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dansby Swanson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alex Bregman | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Samad Taylor | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pedro Ramirez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pedro Ramirez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Kelly | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carson Kelly | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Manny Machado priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres: Home Runs?
- Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Busch: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Austin Hays: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dansby Swanson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alex Bregman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ian Happ: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Austin Hays: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Busch: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Seiya Suzuki: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Seiya Suzuki: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ian Happ: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nico Hoerner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dansby Swanson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alex Bregman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pete Crow-Armstrong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pete Crow-Armstrong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Samad Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pedro Ramirez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pedro Ramirez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Kelly: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Kelly: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Chicago Cubs odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.