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MLB 2026
Chicago C vs San Francisco: Home Runs
Final
mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled

Chicago C vs San Francisco: Home Runs 2026 final odds

Kalshi closed with Matt Chapman at 99.0% versus Matt Chapman at 6.0%. Final book consensus: Matt Chapman — / Matt Chapman — / Daniel Susac — / Dansby Swanson — / Alex Bregman — / Drew Gilbert — / Carson Kelly — / Luis Arraez — / Moisés Ballesteros — / Rafael Devers — / Rafael Devers — / Pete Crow-Armstrong — / Michael Conforto — / Pedro Ramirez — / Casey Schmitt — / Michael Busch — / Casey Schmitt — / Bryce Eldridge — / Willy Adames — / Jung Hoo Lee — / Ian Happ — / Ian Happ — / Pete Crow-Armstrong — / Michael Busch — / Willy Adames — / Bryce Eldridge — / Carson Kelly — / Daniel Susac —.

Closing prices

SideKalshi closingBooks medianBooks countEdge (books − Kalshi)
Matt Chapman99.0%0
Matt Chapman6.0%0
Daniel Susac5.0%0
Dansby Swanson4.0%0
Alex Bregman3.0%0
Drew Gilbert3.0%0
Carson Kelly3.0%0
Luis Arraez3.0%0
Moisés Ballesteros3.0%0
Rafael Devers2.0%0
Rafael Devers2.0%0
Pete Crow-Armstrong2.0%0
Michael Conforto2.0%0
Pedro Ramirez2.0%0
Casey Schmitt2.0%0
Michael Busch2.0%0
Casey Schmitt2.0%0
Bryce Eldridge2.0%0
Willy Adames2.0%0
Jung Hoo Lee2.0%0
Ian Happ2.0%0
Ian Happ2.0%0
Pete Crow-Armstrong1.0%0
Michael Busch1.0%0
Willy Adames1.0%0
Bryce Eldridge1.0%0
Carson Kelly1.0%0
Daniel Susac1.0%0

FAQ

Did Kalshi correctly price Chicago C vs San Francisco: Home Runs?
At settlement, Kalshi had Matt Chapman priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Chicago C vs San Francisco: Home Runs?
Matt Chapman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt Chapman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daniel Susac: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dansby Swanson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alex Bregman: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Gilbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Kelly: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Moisés Ballesteros: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Devers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pete Crow-Armstrong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Conforto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pedro Ramirez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Casey Schmitt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Busch: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Casey Schmitt: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willy Adames: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jung Hoo Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ian Happ: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ian Happ: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pete Crow-Armstrong: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Busch: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Willy Adames: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Eldridge: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carson Kelly: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daniel Susac: — median de-vigged across 0 books
Where can I find live Chicago C odds?
For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.

Chicago C vs San Francisco: Home Runs 2026 final odds — Kalshi closed Matt Chapman at 99% | SportsBookISH