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MLB 2026
Chicago WS vs Seattle: Home Runs
Final
mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled

Chicago WS vs Seattle: Home Runs 2026 final odds

Kalshi closed with Connor Joe at 44.0% versus Miguel Vargas at 7.0%. Final book consensus: Connor Joe — / Miguel Vargas — / Colson Montgomery — / Cole Young — / Patrick Wisdom — / Randy Arozarena — / Chase Meidroth — / Edgar Quero — / Andrew Benintendi — / Connor Joe — / Mitch Garver — / Rob Refsnyder — / Tristan Peters — / Josh Naylor — / Patrick Wisdom — / Julio Rodríguez — / Sam Antonacci — / Colt Emerson — / Miguel Vargas — / Munetaka Murakami — / Munetaka Murakami — / Josh Naylor — / Julio Rodríguez — / Randy Arozarena — / Cole Young — / Jarred Kelenic — / Munetaka Murakami —.

Closing prices

SideKalshi closingBooks medianBooks countEdge (books − Kalshi)
Connor Joe44.0%0
Miguel Vargas7.0%0
Colson Montgomery6.0%0
Cole Young5.0%0
Patrick Wisdom5.0%0
Randy Arozarena5.0%0
Chase Meidroth3.0%0
Edgar Quero2.0%0
Andrew Benintendi2.0%0
Connor Joe2.0%0
Mitch Garver2.0%0
Rob Refsnyder2.0%0
Tristan Peters2.0%0
Josh Naylor2.0%0
Patrick Wisdom2.0%0
Julio Rodríguez2.0%0
Sam Antonacci2.0%0
Colt Emerson1.0%0
Miguel Vargas1.0%0
Munetaka Murakami1.0%0
Munetaka Murakami1.0%0
Josh Naylor1.0%0
Julio Rodríguez1.0%0
Randy Arozarena1.0%0
Cole Young1.0%0
Jarred Kelenic1.0%0
Munetaka Murakami1.0%0

FAQ

Did Kalshi correctly price Chicago WS vs Seattle: Home Runs?
At settlement, Kalshi had Connor Joe priced at 44.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
What was the final book consensus for Chicago WS vs Seattle: Home Runs?
Connor Joe: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colson Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cole Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Patrick Wisdom: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randy Arozarena: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chase Meidroth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edgar Quero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrew Benintendi: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Connor Joe: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Mitch Garver: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rob Refsnyder: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tristan Peters: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Naylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Patrick Wisdom: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Julio Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sam Antonacci: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colt Emerson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Munetaka Murakami: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Munetaka Murakami: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Naylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Julio Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randy Arozarena: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cole Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jarred Kelenic: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Munetaka Murakami: — median de-vigged across 0 books
Where can I find live Chicago WS odds?
For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.

This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.