mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
Chicago WS vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Jonathan Aranda at 9.0% versus Victor Mesa at 6.0%. Final book consensus: Jonathan Aranda — / Victor Mesa — / Tristan Peters — / Braden Montgomery — / Jonny DeLuca — / Colson Montgomery — / Ryan Vilade — / Edgar Quero — / Ben Williamson — / Nick Fortes — / Taylor Walls — / Sam Antonacci — / Miguel Vargas — / Chandler Simpson — / Chase Meidroth — / Jonathan Aranda — / Junior Caminero — / Junior Caminero — / Andrew Benintendi — / Munetaka Murakami — / Munetaka Murakami — / Ryan Vilade — / Sam Antonacci — / Tristan Peters — / Yandy Díaz — / Braden Montgomery — / Jonny DeLuca —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tristan Peters | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Braden Montgomery | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonny DeLuca | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Colson Montgomery | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edgar Quero | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ben Williamson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Walls | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sam Antonacci | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Vargas | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chase Meidroth | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sam Antonacci | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tristan Peters | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Braden Montgomery | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonny DeLuca | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Chicago WS vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Jonathan Aranda priced at 9.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Chicago WS vs Tampa Bay: Home Runs?
- Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tristan Peters: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Braden Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonny DeLuca: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colson Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edgar Quero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ben Williamson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Walls: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sam Antonacci: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chase Meidroth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrew Benintendi: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Munetaka Murakami: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Munetaka Murakami: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sam Antonacci: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tristan Peters: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Braden Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonny DeLuca: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Chicago WS odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.