Chicago WS vs Toronto: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Colson Montgomery at 99.0% versus Kazuma Okamoto at 7.5%. Final book consensus: Colson Montgomery — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Colson Montgomery — / Daulton Varsho — / Sam Antonacci — / Brandon Valenzuela — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Nathan Lukes — / Ernie Clement — / Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — / Randal Grichuk — / Randal Grichuk — / Sam Antonacci — / Sean Keys — / Sean Keys — / Tristan Peters — / Tristan Peters — / Kazuma Okamoto — / Munetaka Murakami — / Andrew Benintendi — / Miguel Vargas — / Braden Montgomery — / Andrés Giménez — / Drew Romo — / Braden Montgomery — / Miguel Vargas — / Drew Romo — / Jonatan Clase — / Brandon Valenzuela — / Daulton Varsho — / Jonatan Clase — / Nathan Lukes — / Andrew Benintendi — / Andrés Giménez — / Ernie Clement — / Munetaka Murakami —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colson Montgomery | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 7.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Colson Montgomery | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Sam Antonacci | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Valenzuela | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Randal Grichuk | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Randal Grichuk | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sam Antonacci | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sean Keys | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sean Keys | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tristan Peters | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tristan Peters | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Vargas | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Braden Montgomery | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Romo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Braden Montgomery | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Vargas | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Drew Romo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonatan Clase | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Valenzuela | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonatan Clase | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathan Lukes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrés Giménez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ernie Clement | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Chicago WS vs Toronto: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Colson Montgomery priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Chicago WS vs Toronto: Home Runs?
- Colson Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colson Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sam Antonacci: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Valenzuela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randal Grichuk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randal Grichuk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sam Antonacci: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sean Keys: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sean Keys: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tristan Peters: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tristan Peters: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kazuma Okamoto: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Munetaka Murakami: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrew Benintendi: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Braden Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Romo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Braden Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Drew Romo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonatan Clase: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Valenzuela: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonatan Clase: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathan Lukes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrew Benintendi: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrés Giménez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ernie Clement: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Munetaka Murakami: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Chicago WS odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.