Cincinnati vs Chicago WS: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Miguel Vargas at 99.0% versus Edgar Quero at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Miguel Vargas — / Edgar Quero — / Eugenio Suárez — / Brenton Doyle — / Braden Montgomery — / Eugenio Suárez — / Dane Myers — / JJ Bleday — / Randal Grichuk — / Tyler Stephenson — / Edgar Quero — / Elly De La Cruz — / Matt McLain — / Sal Stewart — / Miguel Vargas — / Munetaka Murakami — / Ke'Bryan Hayes — / Héctor Rodríguez — / Elly De La Cruz — / Sal Stewart — / Luisangel Acuña — / Colson Montgomery — / Munetaka Murakami — / JJ Bleday — / Dane Myers — / Ke'Bryan Hayes — / Braden Montgomery — / Randal Grichuk — / Brenton Doyle —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Vargas | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edgar Quero | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eugenio Suárez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brenton Doyle | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Braden Montgomery | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eugenio Suárez | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dane Myers | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Randal Grichuk | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Stephenson | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edgar Quero | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Elly De La Cruz | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt McLain | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Vargas | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Munetaka Murakami | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Héctor Rodríguez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Elly De La Cruz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luisangel Acuña | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Colson Montgomery | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Munetaka Murakami | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dane Myers | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Braden Montgomery | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Randal Grichuk | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brenton Doyle | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Cincinnati vs Chicago WS: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Miguel Vargas priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Cincinnati vs Chicago WS: Home Runs?
- Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edgar Quero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eugenio Suárez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brenton Doyle: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Braden Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eugenio Suárez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dane Myers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randal Grichuk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Stephenson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edgar Quero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elly De La Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt McLain: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Munetaka Murakami: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ke'Bryan Hayes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Héctor Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Elly De La Cruz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luisangel Acuña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colson Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Munetaka Murakami: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dane Myers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ke'Bryan Hayes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Braden Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randal Grichuk: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brenton Doyle: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Cincinnati odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.