Cincinnati vs San Diego: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Freddy Fermin at 99.0% versus Sal Stewart at 7.0%. Final book consensus: Freddy Fermin — / Sal Stewart — / Freddy Fermin — / Edwin Arroyo — / JJ Bleday — / JJ Bleday — / Matt McLain — / Samad Taylor — / Ty France — / Noelvi Marte — / Blake Dunn — / Tyler Stephenson — / Sal Stewart — / Eugenio Suárez — / Jackson Merrill — / Eugenio Suárez — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Manny Machado — / Jackson Merrill — / Gavin Sheets — / Noelvi Marte — / Ty France — / Matt McLain — / Jase Bowen — / Jase Bowen — / Gavin Sheets — / Nathaniel Lowe — / Nathaniel Lowe — / Xander Bogaerts — / Xander Bogaerts — / Tyler Stephenson — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Manny Machado —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Fermin | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Freddy Fermin | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edwin Arroyo | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt McLain | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Samad Taylor | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Noelvi Marte | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Blake Dunn | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Stephenson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eugenio Suárez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eugenio Suárez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Noelvi Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt McLain | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jase Bowen | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jase Bowen | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Stephenson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Cincinnati vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Freddy Fermin priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Cincinnati vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- Freddy Fermin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Freddy Fermin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edwin Arroyo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt McLain: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Samad Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Noelvi Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Blake Dunn: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Stephenson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eugenio Suárez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eugenio Suárez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Noelvi Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt McLain: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jase Bowen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jase Bowen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathaniel Lowe: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathaniel Lowe: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Stephenson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Cincinnati odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.