mlbplayer_prop_home_runsSettled
Cincinnati vs San Diego: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Sal Stewart at 99.0% versus Jackson Merrill at 6.0%. Final book consensus: Sal Stewart — / Jackson Merrill — / JJ Bleday — / Spencer Steer — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Sung-Mun Song — / Manny Machado — / Gavin Sheets — / Freddy Fermin — / Blake Dunn — / Eugenio Suárez — / Bryce Johnson — / Will Wagner — / Nathaniel Lowe — / Edwin Arroyo — / Manny Machado — / Jackson Merrill — / Matt McLain — / Nathaniel Lowe — / Sal Stewart — / Samad Taylor — / Blake Dunn — / Tyler Stephenson — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Eugenio Suárez — / Matt McLain — / JJ Bleday — / Gavin Sheets —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Spencer Steer | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sung-Mun Song | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Freddy Fermin | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Blake Dunn | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eugenio Suárez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Johnson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Will Wagner | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Edwin Arroyo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt McLain | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sal Stewart | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Samad Taylor | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Blake Dunn | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Stephenson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Eugenio Suárez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Matt McLain | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| JJ Bleday | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Cincinnati vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Sal Stewart priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Cincinnati vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Spencer Steer: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sung-Mun Song: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Freddy Fermin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Blake Dunn: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eugenio Suárez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Johnson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Will Wagner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathaniel Lowe: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Edwin Arroyo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt McLain: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nathaniel Lowe: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sal Stewart: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Samad Taylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Blake Dunn: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Stephenson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Eugenio Suárez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Matt McLain: — median de-vigged across 0 books · JJ Bleday: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Cincinnati odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.