Detroit vs Chicago WS: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Miguel Vargas at 99.0% versus Spencer Torkelson at 13.0%. Final book consensus: Miguel Vargas — / Spencer Torkelson — / Kyle Teel — / Miguel Vargas — / Max Clark — / Ben Malgeri — / Dillon Dingler — / Spencer Torkelson — / Dillon Dingler — / Braden Montgomery — / John Peck — / Munetaka Murakami — / Colson Montgomery — / Munetaka Murakami — / Colson Montgomery — / Kevin McGonigle — / Kevin McGonigle — / Brenton Doyle — / Brett Callahan — / Chase Meidroth — / Hao-Yu Lee — / John Peck — / Kyle Teel — / Max Clark — / Riley Greene — / Riley Greene — / Sam Antonacci — / Andrew Benintendi — / Andrew Benintendi — / Colt Keith — / Colt Keith — / Hao-Yu Lee — / Brenton Doyle — / Brett Callahan — / Braden Montgomery — / Ben Malgeri —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Vargas | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Spencer Torkelson | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Teel | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Vargas | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Max Clark | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ben Malgeri | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dillon Dingler | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Spencer Torkelson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dillon Dingler | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Braden Montgomery | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| John Peck | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Colson Montgomery | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Colson Montgomery | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kevin McGonigle | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kevin McGonigle | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brenton Doyle | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Callahan | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chase Meidroth | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Hao-Yu Lee | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| John Peck | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Teel | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Max Clark | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Riley Greene | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Riley Greene | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sam Antonacci | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Colt Keith | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Colt Keith | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Hao-Yu Lee | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brenton Doyle | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brett Callahan | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Braden Montgomery | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ben Malgeri | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Detroit vs Chicago WS: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Miguel Vargas priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Detroit vs Chicago WS: Home Runs?
- Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Spencer Torkelson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Teel: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Max Clark: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ben Malgeri: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dillon Dingler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Spencer Torkelson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dillon Dingler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Braden Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · John Peck: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Munetaka Murakami: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colson Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Munetaka Murakami: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colson Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kevin McGonigle: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kevin McGonigle: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brenton Doyle: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Callahan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chase Meidroth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Hao-Yu Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · John Peck: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Teel: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Max Clark: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Riley Greene: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Riley Greene: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sam Antonacci: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrew Benintendi: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrew Benintendi: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colt Keith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colt Keith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Hao-Yu Lee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brenton Doyle: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brett Callahan: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Braden Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ben Malgeri: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Detroit odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.