Houston Astros vs Athletics: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Lucas Spence at 99.0% versus Jeremy Peña at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Lucas Spence — / Jeremy Peña — / Yordan Alvarez — / Isaac Paredes — / Jeremy Peña — / Carlos Cortes — / Shea Langeliers — / Yordan Alvarez — / Zack Gelof — / Lawrence Butler — / Christian Walker — / Lucas Spence — / Shea Langeliers — / Tommy White — / Jonah Heim — / Cam Smith — / Henry Bolte — / Donovan Walton — / Jeff McNeil — / Cam Smith — / Zack Gelof — / Jose Altuve — / Lawrence Butler — / Yainer Diaz — / Henry Bolte — / Carlos Cortes — / Taylor Trammell — / Yainer Diaz — / Isaac Paredes — / Christian Walker — / Jose Altuve — / Yordan Alvarez —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Spence | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carlos Cortes | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Shea Langeliers | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Zack Gelof | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lawrence Butler | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lucas Spence | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Shea Langeliers | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tommy White | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonah Heim | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Henry Bolte | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Donovan Walton | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeff McNeil | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Zack Gelof | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lawrence Butler | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Henry Bolte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carlos Cortes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Houston Astros vs Athletics: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Lucas Spence priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Houston Astros vs Athletics: Home Runs?
- Lucas Spence: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carlos Cortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Shea Langeliers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Zack Gelof: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lawrence Butler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lucas Spence: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Shea Langeliers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tommy White: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonah Heim: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Henry Bolte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Donovan Walton: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeff McNeil: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Zack Gelof: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lawrence Butler: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Henry Bolte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carlos Cortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Houston Astros odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.