Houston vs Philadelphia: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Cam Smith at 99.0% versus Trea Turner at 44.0%. Final book consensus: Cam Smith — / Trea Turner — / Christian Walker — / Bryce Harper — / Jeremy Peña — / Bryson Stott — / Rafael Marchán — / Taylor Trammell — / Kyle Schwarber — / Christian Walker — / Yordan Alvarez — / Jeremy Peña — / Jose Altuve — / Alec Bohm — / Bryson Stott — / Daulton Varsho — / Justin Crawford — / Yordan Alvarez — / Brandon Marsh — / Jose Altuve — / Trea Turner — / Kyle Schwarber — / Kyle Schwarber — / Bryce Harper — / Isaac Paredes — / Alec Bohm — / Cam Smith — / Daulton Varsho — / Taylor Trammell — / Christian Vázquez — / Luis Arraez — / Rafael Marchán —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Smith | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 44.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Marchán | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryson Stott | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Justin Crawford | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Brandon Marsh | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Trea Turner | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Schwarber | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bryce Harper | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Alec Bohm | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Vázquez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Arraez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Rafael Marchán | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Houston vs Philadelphia: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Cam Smith priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Houston vs Philadelphia: Home Runs?
- Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Marchán: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryson Stott: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Justin Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Brandon Marsh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Trea Turner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Schwarber: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bryce Harper: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Alec Bohm: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Vázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Arraez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Rafael Marchán: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Houston odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.