Houston vs San Diego: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Cam Smith at 99.0% versus Cam Smith at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Cam Smith — / Cam Smith — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Yordan Alvarez — / Daulton Varsho — / Xander Bogaerts — / Manny Machado — / Luis Campusano — / Jake Cronenworth — / Sung-Mun Song — / Jake Meyers — / Yainer Diaz — / Christian Walker — / Jackson Merrill — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Jose Altuve — / Jeremy Peña — / Yordan Alvarez — / Jackson Merrill — / Manny Machado — / Jake Cronenworth — / Sung-Mun Song — / Daulton Varsho — / Yainer Diaz — / Luis Rengifo — / Jake Meyers — / Xander Bogaerts — / Luis Campusano — / Gavin Sheets — / Luis Rengifo — / Jose Altuve — / Isaac Paredes — / Gavin Sheets — / Christian Walker —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Smith | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 3.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sung-Mun Song | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Meyers | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sung-Mun Song | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Rengifo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Meyers | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Rengifo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Houston vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Cam Smith priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Houston vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sung-Mun Song: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Meyers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sung-Mun Song: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Rengifo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Meyers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Rengifo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Houston odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.