Houston vs San Diego: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Jackson Merrill at 99.0% versus Taylor Trammell at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Jackson Merrill — / Taylor Trammell — / Jackson Merrill — / Cam Smith — / Daulton Varsho — / Xander Bogaerts — / Jake Cronenworth — / Christian Vázquez — / Gavin Sheets — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Jeremy Peña — / Isaac Paredes — / Christian Walker — / Luis Campusano — / Isaac Paredes — / Cam Smith — / Manny Machado — / Luis Rengifo — / Daulton Varsho — / Gavin Sheets — / Christian Vázquez — / Christian Walker — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Manny Machado — / Yordan Alvarez — / Yordan Alvarez — / Jake Cronenworth — / Jose Altuve — / Luis Rengifo — / Taylor Trammell — / Ty France —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Vázquez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Campusano | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Rengifo | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Vázquez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Rengifo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Houston vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Jackson Merrill priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Houston vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Vázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Campusano: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Rengifo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Vázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Rengifo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Houston odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.