Houston vs San Diego: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Gavin Sheets at 99.0% versus Daulton Varsho at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Gavin Sheets — / Daulton Varsho — / Jackson Merrill — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Fernando Tatis Jr. — / Taylor Trammell — / Xander Bogaerts — / Jake Cronenworth — / Yordan Alvarez — / Taylor Trammell — / Isaac Paredes — / Jeremy Peña — / Yainer Diaz — / Jose Altuve — / Manny Machado — / Manny Machado — / Christian Walker — / Christian Walker — / Freddy Fermin — / LaMonte Wade Jr. — / Daulton Varsho — / Jeremy Peña — / Jose Altuve — / Luis Rengifo — / Xander Bogaerts — / Freddy Fermin — / Ty France — / Ty France — / Yainer Diaz — / Jake Cronenworth — / Isaac Paredes — / LaMonte Wade Jr. — / Gavin Sheets — / Yordan Alvarez — / Jackson Merrill —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 2.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Manny Machado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Freddy Fermin | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | 1.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Luis Rengifo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Freddy Fermin | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ty France | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jake Cronenworth | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gavin Sheets | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Houston vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Gavin Sheets priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Houston vs San Diego: Home Runs?
- Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Fernando Tatis Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Manny Machado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Freddy Fermin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · LaMonte Wade Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Luis Rengifo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xander Bogaerts: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Freddy Fermin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ty France: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jake Cronenworth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · LaMonte Wade Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gavin Sheets: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jackson Merrill: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Houston odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.