Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners: Home Runs — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Yainer Diaz at 99.0% versus Randy Arozarena at 12.0%. Final book consensus: Yainer Diaz — / Randy Arozarena — / Jeremy Peña — / Isaac Paredes — / Cal Raleigh — / Dominic Canzone — / Jose Altuve — / Cole Young — / Julio Rodríguez — / Cal Raleigh — / Yainer Diaz — / J.P. Crawford — / Nick Allen — / Taylor Trammell — / Lucas Spence — / Christian Walker — / Christian Walker — / Cole Young — / Julio Rodríguez — / Yordan Alvarez — / Randy Arozarena — / Jose Altuve — / Yordan Alvarez — / Isaac Paredes — / Weston Wilson — / Cam Smith — / Lucas Spence — / Weston Wilson — / Dominic Canzone — / Josh Naylor — / J.P. Crawford — / Josh Naylor — / Lazaro Montes — / Cam Smith — / Taylor Trammell — / Lazaro Montes —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Randy Arozarena | 12.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 12.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cal Raleigh | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dominic Canzone | 9.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cole Young | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Julio Rodríguez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cal Raleigh | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| J.P. Crawford | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Allen | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lucas Spence | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cole Young | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Julio Rodríguez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Randy Arozarena | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Weston Wilson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lucas Spence | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Weston Wilson | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Dominic Canzone | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Naylor | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| J.P. Crawford | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Josh Naylor | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lazaro Montes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lazaro Montes | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners: Home Runs?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Yainer Diaz priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners: Home Runs?
- Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randy Arozarena: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cal Raleigh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dominic Canzone: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cole Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Julio Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cal Raleigh: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · J.P. Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Allen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lucas Spence: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cole Young: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Julio Rodríguez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Randy Arozarena: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Weston Wilson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lucas Spence: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Weston Wilson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Dominic Canzone: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Naylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · J.P. Crawford: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Josh Naylor: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lazaro Montes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lazaro Montes: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Houston Astros odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.