Houston vs Tampa Bay: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Richie Palacios at 99.0% versus Yainer Diaz at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Richie Palacios — / Yainer Diaz — / Yainer Diaz — / Chandler Simpson — / Yainer Diaz — / Victor Mesa — / Liam Hicks — / Junior Caminero — / Jose Altuve — / Isaac Paredes — / Jonathan Aranda — / Yordan Alvarez — / Christian Vázquez — / Cam Smith — / Chandler Simpson — / Yandy Díaz — / Jeremy Peña — / Jeremy Peña — / Yordan Alvarez — / Jose Altuve — / Daulton Varsho — / Christian Walker — / Junior Caminero — / Yandy Díaz — / Jorge Mateo — / Isaac Paredes — / Daulton Varsho — / Cam Smith — / Jonathan Aranda — / Christian Walker — / Cedric Mullins — / Richie Palacios — / Jorge Mateo — / Taylor Trammell — / Christian Vázquez — / Victor Mesa — / Isaac Paredes — / Yandy Díaz — / Taylor Trammell — / Jeremy Peña — / Yordan Alvarez — / Chandler Simpson — / Junior Caminero — / Jose Altuve — / Jonathan Aranda — / Liam Hicks — / Daulton Varsho — / Cam Smith — / Yordan Alvarez — / Junior Caminero — / Victor Mesa — / Cedric Mullins — / Christian Walker — / Yandy Díaz — / Jeremy Peña — / Liam Hicks — / Richie Palacios — / Cedric Mullins —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Palacios | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yainer Diaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Liam Hicks | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 67.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Vázquez | 39.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 34.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 33.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 32.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 29.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 29.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 25.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jorge Mateo | 21.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 21.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 15.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 12.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jorge Mateo | 12.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Vázquez | 10.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Paredes | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Taylor Trammell | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jose Altuve | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Liam Hicks | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Daulton Varsho | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cam Smith | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yordan Alvarez | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Victor Mesa | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Christian Walker | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jeremy Peña | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Liam Hicks | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Cedric Mullins | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Houston vs Tampa Bay: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Richie Palacios priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Houston vs Tampa Bay: Hits?
- Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yainer Diaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Liam Hicks: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Vázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jorge Mateo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jorge Mateo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Vázquez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Paredes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Taylor Trammell: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jose Altuve: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Liam Hicks: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Daulton Varsho: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cam Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yordan Alvarez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Victor Mesa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Christian Walker: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jeremy Peña: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Liam Hicks: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Cedric Mullins: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Houston odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.