Kansas City vs Chicago WS: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Miguel Vargas at 99.0% versus Starling Marte at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Miguel Vargas — / Starling Marte — / Braden Montgomery — / Carter Jensen — / Salvador Perez — / Kyle Teel — / Carter Jensen — / Lane Thomas — / Lane Thomas — / Starling Marte — / Miguel Vargas — / Isaac Collins — / Sam Antonacci — / Tristan Peters — / Kameron Misner — / Andrew Benintendi — / Kyle Teel — / Salvador Perez — / Carter Jensen — / Chase Meidroth — / Colson Montgomery — / Sam Antonacci — / Chase Meidroth — / Colson Montgomery — / Andrew Benintendi — / Michael Massey — / Lane Thomas — / Salvador Perez — / Bobby Witt Jr. — / Bobby Witt Jr. — / Kyle Teel — / Michael Massey — / Tyler Tolbert — / Michael Massey — / Bobby Witt Jr. — / Tyler Tolbert — / Miguel Vargas — / Bobby Witt Jr. —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Vargas | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Starling Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Braden Montgomery | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carter Jensen | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Salvador Perez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Teel | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carter Jensen | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lane Thomas | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lane Thomas | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Starling Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Vargas | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Collins | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sam Antonacci | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tristan Peters | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kameron Misner | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrew Benintendi | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Teel | 95.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Salvador Perez | 92.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carter Jensen | 92.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chase Meidroth | 68.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Colson Montgomery | 29.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Sam Antonacci | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chase Meidroth | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Colson Montgomery | 19.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Andrew Benintendi | 19.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Massey | 14.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lane Thomas | 13.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Salvador Perez | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Teel | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Massey | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Tolbert | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Massey | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tyler Tolbert | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Miguel Vargas | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Kansas City vs Chicago WS: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Miguel Vargas priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Kansas City vs Chicago WS: Hits?
- Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Starling Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Braden Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carter Jensen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Salvador Perez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Teel: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carter Jensen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lane Thomas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lane Thomas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Starling Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Collins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sam Antonacci: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tristan Peters: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kameron Misner: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrew Benintendi: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Teel: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Salvador Perez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carter Jensen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chase Meidroth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colson Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Sam Antonacci: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chase Meidroth: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Colson Montgomery: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Andrew Benintendi: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Massey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lane Thomas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Salvador Perez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bobby Witt Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bobby Witt Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Teel: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Massey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Tolbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Massey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bobby Witt Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tyler Tolbert: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Miguel Vargas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Bobby Witt Jr.: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Kansas City odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.