Kansas City vs Tampa Bay: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Jonathan Aranda at 99.0% versus Carter Jensen at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Jonathan Aranda — / Carter Jensen — / Chandler Simpson — / Chandler Simpson — / Lane Thomas — / Maikel Garcia — / Nick Loftin — / Richie Palacios — / Yandy Díaz — / Ryan Vilade — / Salvador Perez — / Nick Fortes — / Michael Massey — / Yandy Díaz — / Isaac Collins — / Carter Jensen — / Richie Palacios — / Junior Caminero — / Maikel Garcia — / Lane Thomas — / Chandler Simpson — / Nick Loftin — / Ben Williamson — / Carter Jensen — / John Rave — / Michael Massey — / Jac Caglianone — / Jonny DeLuca — / Nick Fortes — / Jonathan Aranda — / Junior Caminero — / Junior Caminero — / Jonathan Aranda — / Junior Caminero — / Jac Caglianone — / Jac Caglianone — / Maikel Garcia — / Michael Massey — / Salvador Perez — / Salvador Perez — / Yandy Díaz — / Isaac Collins — / John Rave — / Ben Williamson — / Jonny DeLuca — / Jonny DeLuca — / Nick Fortes — / Ryan Vilade — / Jonny DeLuca —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carter Jensen | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lane Thomas | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Maikel Garcia | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Loftin | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Salvador Perez | 59.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 52.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Massey | 37.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 37.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Collins | 30.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carter Jensen | 28.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Richie Palacios | 27.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Maikel Garcia | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lane Thomas | 20.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Chandler Simpson | 18.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Loftin | 16.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ben Williamson | 11.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Carter Jensen | 6.0% | — | 0 | — |
| John Rave | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Massey | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jac Caglianone | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonny DeLuca | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 3.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonathan Aranda | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Junior Caminero | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jac Caglianone | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jac Caglianone | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Maikel Garcia | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Michael Massey | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Salvador Perez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Salvador Perez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Yandy Díaz | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Isaac Collins | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| John Rave | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ben Williamson | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonny DeLuca | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonny DeLuca | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nick Fortes | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ryan Vilade | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jonny DeLuca | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Kansas City vs Tampa Bay: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Jonathan Aranda priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Kansas City vs Tampa Bay: Hits?
- Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carter Jensen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lane Thomas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Maikel Garcia: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Loftin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Salvador Perez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Massey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Collins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carter Jensen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Richie Palacios: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Maikel Garcia: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lane Thomas: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Chandler Simpson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Loftin: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ben Williamson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Carter Jensen: — median de-vigged across 0 books · John Rave: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Massey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jac Caglianone: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonny DeLuca: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonathan Aranda: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Junior Caminero: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jac Caglianone: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jac Caglianone: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Maikel Garcia: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Michael Massey: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Salvador Perez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Salvador Perez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Yandy Díaz: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Isaac Collins: — median de-vigged across 0 books · John Rave: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ben Williamson: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonny DeLuca: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonny DeLuca: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nick Fortes: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ryan Vilade: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jonny DeLuca: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Kansas City odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.