Miami vs Arizona: Hits — 2026 final odds
Kalshi closed with Ketel Marte at 99.0% versus Corbin Carroll at 99.0%. Final book consensus: Ketel Marte — / Corbin Carroll — / Nolan Arenado — / Kyle Stowers — / Griffin Conine — / Heriberto Hernández — / Xavier Edwards — / Lars Nootbaar — / Lars Nootbaar — / Jakob Marsee — / Gabriel Moreno — / Jordan Lawlar — / Javier Sanoja — / Agustín Ramírez — / Xavier Edwards — / Pavin Smith — / Jakob Marsee — / Jordan Lawlar — / Lars Nootbaar — / Joe Mack — / Javier Sanoja — / Jakob Marsee — / Xavier Edwards — / Kyle Stowers — / Otto Lopez — / Agustín Ramírez — / Pavin Smith — / Tim Tawa — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Corbin Carroll — / Nolan Arenado — / Javier Sanoja — / Javier Sanoja — / Pavin Smith — / Corbin Carroll — / Jordan Lawlar — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Nolan Arenado — / Agustín Ramírez — / Ketel Marte — / Ketel Marte — / Ketel Marte — / Kyle Stowers — / Gabriel Moreno — / Geraldo Perdomo — / Griffin Conine — / Griffin Conine — / Heriberto Hernández — / Heriberto Hernández — / Joe Mack — / Otto Lopez — / Joe Mack — / Gabriel Moreno — / Otto Lopez — / Otto Lopez — / Xavier Edwards — / Tim Tawa — / Gabriel Moreno — / Tim Tawa —.
Closing prices
| Side | Kalshi closing | Books median | Books count | Edge (books − Kalshi) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Stowers | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Griffin Conine | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Heriberto Hernández | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xavier Edwards | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jakob Marsee | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Javier Sanoja | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Agustín Ramírez | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xavier Edwards | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pavin Smith | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jakob Marsee | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Lars Nootbaar | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joe Mack | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Javier Sanoja | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jakob Marsee | 99.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xavier Edwards | 86.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Stowers | 31.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Otto Lopez | 31.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Agustín Ramírez | 29.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pavin Smith | 26.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 24.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 23.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 22.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 17.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Javier Sanoja | 8.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Javier Sanoja | 7.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Pavin Smith | 5.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Corbin Carroll | 5.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Jordan Lawlar | 4.5% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 4.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Nolan Arenado | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Agustín Ramírez | 2.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Ketel Marte | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Kyle Stowers | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Griffin Conine | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Griffin Conine | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Heriberto Hernández | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Heriberto Hernández | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joe Mack | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Otto Lopez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Joe Mack | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Otto Lopez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Otto Lopez | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Xavier Edwards | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Gabriel Moreno | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
| Tim Tawa | 1.0% | — | 0 | — |
Related
FAQ
- Did Kalshi correctly price Miami vs Arizona: Hits?
- At settlement, Kalshi had Ketel Marte priced at 99.0% (closing implied probability). Compare against the de-vigged book median of — from 0 US sportsbooks.
- What was the final book consensus for Miami vs Arizona: Hits?
- Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Stowers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Griffin Conine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Heriberto Hernández: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xavier Edwards: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jakob Marsee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Javier Sanoja: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Agustín Ramírez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xavier Edwards: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pavin Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jakob Marsee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Lars Nootbaar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joe Mack: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Javier Sanoja: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jakob Marsee: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xavier Edwards: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Stowers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Otto Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Agustín Ramírez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pavin Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Javier Sanoja: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Javier Sanoja: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Pavin Smith: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Corbin Carroll: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Jordan Lawlar: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Nolan Arenado: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Agustín Ramírez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Ketel Marte: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Kyle Stowers: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Geraldo Perdomo: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Griffin Conine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Griffin Conine: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Heriberto Hernández: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Heriberto Hernández: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joe Mack: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Otto Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Joe Mack: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Otto Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Otto Lopez: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Xavier Edwards: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Gabriel Moreno: — median de-vigged across 0 books · Tim Tawa: — median de-vigged across 0 books
- Where can I find live Miami odds?
- For current MLB matchups, see the live MLB hub at /sports/mlb, or browse the full 2026 archive at /sports/mlb/2026.
This archive shows the final Kalshi and sportsbook prices captured when the event settled. For methodology see /about/methodology.